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re: 2025 NFL News & Notes Thread
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:41 pm to TigerLunatik
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:41 pm to TigerLunatik
QB Preview
Numbers to know
17 -- Cam Ward has been sacked a league-high 17 times. It is hard to evaluate him in this environment.
7.3 -- Patrick Mahomes averaged 7.3 yards per attempt in Xavier Worthy's first game back. This was the first game all year that Mahomes was over seven yards per attempt.
29.5 -- The Dolphins are giving up 29.5 FPPG to opposing QBs, the second-highest mark in the league. Every QB has scored at least 28 points against them. Bryce Young is up in Week 5.
5.0% -- Sam Darnold's 5.0% off-target rate is the best in the league. Unfortunately, he's only throwing 25 passes per game, so it is hard to trust him in Fantasy.
13 -- Trevor Lawrence's has had 13 passes dropped through four weeks, the most in the league.
15 -- Drake Maye has 15 scrambles, the third most behind Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.
1 -- Daniel Jones only had one rush attempt in Week 4. That number has gone down every week of the season.
106.1 -- Matthew Stafford's 106.1 passer rating would be a career high if he maintained it all season.
Numbers to know
17 -- Cam Ward has been sacked a league-high 17 times. It is hard to evaluate him in this environment.
7.3 -- Patrick Mahomes averaged 7.3 yards per attempt in Xavier Worthy's first game back. This was the first game all year that Mahomes was over seven yards per attempt.
29.5 -- The Dolphins are giving up 29.5 FPPG to opposing QBs, the second-highest mark in the league. Every QB has scored at least 28 points against them. Bryce Young is up in Week 5.
5.0% -- Sam Darnold's 5.0% off-target rate is the best in the league. Unfortunately, he's only throwing 25 passes per game, so it is hard to trust him in Fantasy.
13 -- Trevor Lawrence's has had 13 passes dropped through four weeks, the most in the league.
15 -- Drake Maye has 15 scrambles, the third most behind Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.
1 -- Daniel Jones only had one rush attempt in Week 4. That number has gone down every week of the season.
106.1 -- Matthew Stafford's 106.1 passer rating would be a career high if he maintained it all season.
1
Posted on 9/30/25 at 3:00 pm to TigerLunatik
I think it was Tacky that asked where these numbers come from. This is the link to the site that I get these last two posts from, cbsports/fantasy.. Heath Cummings is the one that comes up with the previews. I think he's basically their version of Mike Clay. I know he runs a bunch of simulations to come up with projections.
Posted on 9/30/25 at 4:46 pm to TigerLunatik
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
2.77 -- Xavier Worthy averaged 2.77 yards per route run in his Week 4 return. Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba are the only starting WRs with a better averaged this year.
36.5% -- Garrett Wilson 36.5% target share is second only to, you guessed it, Nacua.
90% -- Davante Adams has 90% of the Los Angeles Rams end zone targets this year.
22.1% -- Elic Ayomanor leads the Tennessee Titans with a 22% target share. If you have to start a Titans wide receiver, he is the best one to start.
4 -- DeVonta Smith only has one game this season with more than four catches.
63.3% -- Stefon Diggs played a season-high 63% of the offensive snaps in Week 4.
45.7% -- A.J. Brown has a 45.7% air yards share this year. Hopefully production starts to follow the opportunity.
70% -- Only 70% of Jameson Williams' targets have been catchable this year. That's at least partially because of his extremely high a
Numbers to Know
2.77 -- Xavier Worthy averaged 2.77 yards per route run in his Week 4 return. Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba are the only starting WRs with a better averaged this year.
36.5% -- Garrett Wilson 36.5% target share is second only to, you guessed it, Nacua.
90% -- Davante Adams has 90% of the Los Angeles Rams end zone targets this year.
22.1% -- Elic Ayomanor leads the Tennessee Titans with a 22% target share. If you have to start a Titans wide receiver, he is the best one to start.
4 -- DeVonta Smith only has one game this season with more than four catches.
63.3% -- Stefon Diggs played a season-high 63% of the offensive snaps in Week 4.
45.7% -- A.J. Brown has a 45.7% air yards share this year. Hopefully production starts to follow the opportunity.
70% -- Only 70% of Jameson Williams' targets have been catchable this year. That's at least partially because of his extremely high a
Posted on 9/30/25 at 7:22 pm to TigerLunatik
Can I get the rest of that last sentence about Jamo please. His extremely high what?
Posted on 9/30/25 at 7:30 pm to beauchristopher
ADP... lemme go see if I can get it. My bad.
Posted on 9/30/25 at 7:31 pm to beauchristopher
quote:
Only 70% of Jameson Williams' targets have been catchable this year. That's at least partially because of his extremely high average route depth of 13.3.
Posted on 9/30/25 at 7:33 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
16 -- Darren Waller only played 16 offensive snaps in his debut. He scored 17 Fantasy points.
22.9% -- 22.9% of Bryce Young passes have gone to tight ends this year. With Ja'Tavion Sanders likely out, expect Tommy Tremble to see the majority of those.
4.75 -- The Buffalo Bills are giving up 4.75 PPR FPPG to tight ends this year. Hunter Henry is up next.
4.5 -- T.J. Hockneson is averaging 4.5 targets per game and has yet to break 50 receiving yards in a game this season.
3 -- Dallas Goedert has three receiving touchdowns in three games. Last year, he had two in 10 games. The year before, he had three in 14 games. He has never had more than five in a season.
182 -- Brenton Strange leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 182 receiving yards.
2 -- Tyler Warren had two carries inside the five-yard line for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. If that becomes the norm, he may be TE1 overall.
Posted on 9/30/25 at 7:35 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
Buccaneers RB Bucky Irving is still gathering medical opinions on what’s being termed an ankle and/or foot injury, sources tell me and @RapSheet. No one has ruled Irving out vs. the #Seahawks but he’s sore and his status is up in the air as the Bucs return to practice tomorrow.
Mike Garafolo
Posted on 9/30/25 at 8:54 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
3 -- Dallas Goedert has three receiving touchdowns in three games. Last year, he had two in 10 games. The year before, he had three in 14 games. He has never had more than five in a season.
Not sure what to make of this
Posted on 9/30/25 at 9:04 pm to Yeti_Chaser
I dont either. 
It's either this is an anomaly and it won't continue or this is his breakout. I guess it's up to the reader to decide.
It's either this is an anomaly and it won't continue or this is his breakout. I guess it's up to the reader to decide.
Posted on 10/1/25 at 7:01 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
No one has ruled Irving out vs. the #Seahawks but he’s sore and his status is up in the air as the Bucs return to practice tomorrow.
Bucky should probably have surgery since I have 0 shares of him and 3 or 4 shares of Rachad.
This post was edited on 10/1/25 at 10:40 am
Posted on 10/1/25 at 7:04 am to beauchristopher
quote:
Can I get the rest of that last sentence about Jamo please. His extremely high what?
I think it was supposed to say:
quote:
Only 70% of Jameson Williams' targets have been catchable this year. That's at least partially because he’s extremely high.
Posted on 10/1/25 at 7:46 am to BhamTigah
quote:
Change in Cleveland: Browns are benching veteran QB Joe Flacco in favor of rookie QB Dillon Gabriel, per sources. The Browns were informed of the change this morning.
Gabriel’s first NFL start comes Sunday in London vs. the Vikings.
- Adam Schefter
Posted on 10/1/25 at 9:50 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
Not looking good for Bucs RB Bucky Irving, who had a boot on his left foot and was on crutches at today’s walkthrough. Focus on Rachaad White and Sean Tucker for Sunday in Seattle
- Greg Auman
Posted on 10/1/25 at 10:04 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
Another RB whose status for Sunday is now in question: Cardinals RB Trey Benson. Near the end of last Thursday’s game vs. the Seahawks, Benson banged his knee. It is not thought to be serious, but his status for Sunday now is in question.
- Adam Schefter
Posted on 10/1/25 at 10:48 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
Sunday is now in question: Cardinals RB Trey Benson.
That late desperation pickup of Demercado by JoshPat may save him if Benson doesn'y play. Poor kid lost Tyreek the same week Jacobs and Doubs were on bye. Forced him to overspend on Debo, and I don't know what he was thinking with that Baker bid.
Posted on 10/1/25 at 11:37 am to BhamTigah
Is the Bucky Irving injury worse than expected? I know he came back in, but this looks nasty. They are being hush hush about any MRI results and word is he's seeking other opinions.
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Posted on 10/1/25 at 11:45 am to BhamTigah
At least I have White
Posted on 10/1/25 at 11:52 am to TheWalrus
Anyone else picking up Slayton? He cooked last year in the 2 games Nabers missed.. 10+ targets in both
This post was edited on 10/1/25 at 11:53 am
Posted on 10/1/25 at 12:05 pm to Honkus
quote:
Trey Benson is heading to IR with the knee injury, per Cardinals head coach Jonathan Gannon.
- Tyler Drake
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