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Started By
Message
Trump is winning Nevada
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:21 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:21 pm
5
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:22 pm to Seldom Seen
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:22 pm to Seldom Seen
So far. A lot depends on those "others", but he is definitely outperforming 2020.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:23 pm to armtackledawg
I would think “other” breaks for the challenging party in this race.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:23 pm to Seldom Seen
Do not assume all those pubs are voting for Trump..
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:24 pm to armtackledawg
quote:
A lot depends on those "others", but he is definitely outperforming 2020.
Election Day Indys tend to split in a similar ratio to party turnout. Not a guarantee, but promising. Depends on what happens in Clark this evening
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:26 pm to Bama Bird
Don’t forget the mail-in votes
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:28 pm to armtackledawg
quote:
So far. A lot depends on those "others".
People say this but they don't understand Nevada.
"Others" in rural areas vote overwhelming Republican.
Others in Clark County vote more Democrat, not as extreme a split but it's a bigger number of voters.
Simply put, the math isn't there to overcome the Republican lead. She's not gonna win "Others" by 15-20%, nobody in Nevada ever does. You're lucky if you win them by 5%, they end up mostly evenish.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:29 pm to Seldom Seen
Insert :leave no doubt remember the titans: gif here.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:30 pm to HEtiger
Major problems with that in 2024. They can’t hide those votes this time.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:33 pm to FreddieMac
quote:
Do not assume all those pubs are voting for Trump..
No one does; a certain percentage of defections is expected for all parties, but there are both current polling data on it, and historical ranges of outcome, that let you comfortably account for crossover voting largely.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:39 pm to BoardReader
Washoe as of 12 PM Vegas time.
5310 GOP, 3908 Dem, 5895 Other (+1402 GOP)
Was 3592 GOP, 2583 Dem, 3948 Other at 10 AM. (+1009 GOP)
5310 GOP, 3908 Dem, 5895 Other (+1402 GOP)
Was 3592 GOP, 2583 Dem, 3948 Other at 10 AM. (+1009 GOP)
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:43 pm to Seldom Seen
There are that many "others" in Nevada?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:16 pm to HEtiger
quote:
Don’t forget the mail-in votes
2020 - went to bed thinking Trump won. Woke up the next morning to "more votes came in overnight"
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