- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Florida ballot returns by party - Live Tracking
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:31 pm to StansberryRules
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:31 pm to StansberryRules
It’s not a glitch, it’s a function in dem states
0
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:31 pm to monsterballads
quote:
If only it was this transparent nationwide. Something has to be done on a federal level.
Like getting rid of the electoral college.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 12:33 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 12:48 pm to Jimmy Montrose
quote:
Like getting rid of the electoral college.
Oh look, found the moron of the day
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:28 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
I'm betting it settles somewhere around 15 or 16%.
This is looking more likely - or even just above 16
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:32 pm to armtackledawg
Trump in Fla in 2020 was 51.2%
If hes 53% here its an EC win but R court. At 54% dems go home. At 55% irs a red wave.
If hes 53% here its an EC win but R court. At 54% dems go home. At 55% irs a red wave.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 1:35 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:34 pm to Canada_Baw
quote:You're not taking into account state-specific registration changes since 2020.
If hes 53% here its an EC win but R court. At 54% dems go home. At 55% irs a red wave.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:35 pm to TideCPA
Down to 18.98
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:36 pm to TideCPA
I am. Im using macro not micro assumptions. If the electorate shifts by over one basis point (1%) to Trump in FLA it’s over. And watch how independents break. 2-3% there is PV.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:37 pm to Golgi Apparatus
How does the Miami area look?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:38 pm to StansberryRules
How much money did the Dems spend in FL. I saw basically nothing in the state other than a few X ads
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:39 pm to TDTOM
Miami Dade +20k rep. Broward +8k dem. Everything else around red.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:39 pm to Golgi Apparatus
So far it's not a great sign .. but there's always the "after work" red vote.
We'll see
We'll see
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:39 pm to Golgi Apparatus
The theory here for those out of the loop is:
20% means a red wave in swing states
15% means a nail biter in swing states
Below 15% means President Kamala
20% means a red wave in swing states
15% means a nail biter in swing states
Below 15% means President Kamala
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:40 pm to Canada_Baw
quote:
If hes 53% here its an EC win but R court. At 54% dems go home. At 55% irs a red wave.
Right now, he is tracking at the high end of this, if the final vote count is what i think it will be.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:41 pm to jmcwhrter
quote:
So far it's not a great sign .. but there's always the "after work" red vote.
We'll see
bullshite
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:41 pm to StansberryRules
quote:
The other states are disfunctional by design. There are third world countries who conduct better elections than they do in most Democrat state.
Well, Dem states are run by Dems so the incompetence may not be by design but by nature.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:42 pm to jmcwhrter
quote:It's gone down 1% in 2 hours. At this rate it'll be ~17.5% as folks are getting off work. Starting to look like "good sign for Republicans, but not necessarily a complete blowout nationally" territory.
So far it's not a great sign .. but there's always the "after work" red vote.
We'll see
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 1:43 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:43 pm to jmcwhrter
quote:
So far it's not a great sign .. but there's always the "after work" red vote. We'll see
Meh it’s looking like it’ll be close to 15 if the bleed continues. Independents will be the story of the election as always
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:43 pm to Canada_Baw
quote:
one basis point (1%)
one basis point or 1%?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:43 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
I'm betting it settles somewhere around 15 or 16%.
The data geek who posted this says it can be used to extrapolate if Trump wins or not.
20% or more means landslide.Below 20% we're in a fight. 15% or lower, we're in trouble.
Having said that, someone pointed out that the panhandle is in central time and opens an hour later than Miami Dade and the large Dem counties so this will drop to around 15 then bump back up later today.
I have no idea if ANY of that is legit. Just telling you what they're saying.
Page 3 of 4
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News