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Are Early Numbers Showing Cannibalism?

Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:39 am
Posted by GAFF
Georgia
Member since Aug 2010
2607 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:39 am
Of Election Day votes? There’s honestly so many numbers and percentages being posted I can’t keep up with what any of it means. Are the numbers showing the repubs cannibalizing their votes? I know that was a concern of many.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 11:43 am
Posted by Barbados
Member since Nov 2024
1933 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:40 am to
It is showing that all the poll people are trying to get their clicks and money right now before it dries up
Posted by Huskertiger2
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2020
1250 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:40 am to
No
Posted by FireGoodell
Member since Mar 2019
5500 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:40 am to
It’s still early, many people are working and will vote when they get off. Me included
Posted by Boss13
Mobile
Member since Oct 2016
1622 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:40 am to
No, turnout looking great so far. Let's see if it holds into the afternoon when Republicans get off work.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
21983 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
So far. No. Tbd overall it is early in the day.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3222 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
Haven't seen any evidence of it so far.......
Posted by Rex Feral
Member since Jan 2014
14780 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
quote:

cannibalizing their votes


Can you explain that to me like I'm Joe Biden?
Posted by PetroAg
Member since Jun 2013
1673 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
Most everyone I’ve talked to have already voted early in Texas. It’s a concern since last time the message was to wait until Election Day. It’s still a way better scenario than Dems having a larger margin in early voting than last cycle. Overall good news but we will see how they roll in.
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
11381 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
It showing that we have a ton of bots on this board repeating lies.
Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24248 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:41 am to
Objectively not a ton to go off of this early in the day but mid afternoon should clarify that some.
Posted by Harry Ballz 2024
Appalachia
Member since Nov 2024
777 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:42 am to
What a way to title a thread when you proceed to say you have no idea what the data is saying.
Posted by Canada_Baw
Member since Dec 2017
2480 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:42 am to
Dems didnt turnout - little change for R’s; watch change amongst independents in florida/NC early to know.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 11:43 am
Posted by KingOrange
Mayfair
Member since Aug 2018
11150 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:42 am to
No
Posted by Canada_Baw
Member since Dec 2017
2480 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:44 am to
Florida Exit Poll differences will progpogate across the nation
Posted by BoardReader
Arkansas
Member since Dec 2007
7253 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Of Election Day votes? There’s honestly so many numbers and percentages being posted I can’t keep up with what any of it means. Are the numbers showing the repubs cannibalizing their votes? I know that was a concern of many.



None whatsoever yet. The early voting gap comes from almost exclusively a decline in early Democrat voting. Republican numbers are pretty steady from 2020, overall- but Democrat early voting numbers absolutely cratered.

The question is down to whether or not these 'missing Democrats' will vote in sufficient numbers on Election Day, to win elections.

Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
4624 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:44 am to
YES
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
4624 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:45 am to
NO
Posted by Pfft
Member since Jul 2014
4624 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:45 am to
MAYBE
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
54828 posts
Posted on 11/5/24 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Can you explain that to me like I'm Joe Biden?


The thought is that with the emphasis on early.voting this year, which has been backed up by massive early voting #s for the good guys, will eat into our typically large election day turnout advantage

So far so good... see Florida for 1 example. Dims are probably just rolling out of bed though. Not like they have jobs or responsibilities.
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 11:47 am
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