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Don't Assume Gen Z Will Show Up
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:52 am
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:52 am
While many may assume widespread electoral support for Biden among younger voters is a fait accompli, a surprising number of Gen Z voters may have already chosen to opt out of voting come November.
Their stories were consistent: Gen Zers were having trouble accepting Joe Biden as their candidate of choice and staying home and opting out was appealing to them. Despite my comments that this could lead to a second Trump term, students consistently said that Biden did not inspire them. New survey data suggests that Gen Z’s turnout may be overstated. Politicos should take note.
First, the fall youth poll from Harvard’s Institute of Politics finds a significant enthusiasm gap between the candidates: 56% of America’s 18-to-29-year-old likely voters who support Trump are "very enthusiastic" about voting for him. This stands in stark contrast to just 35% of likely voters who back Biden. Those in Gen Z are generally not excited about the Democratic nominee and tell me that they were deflated when more progressive candidates dropped out of the race. Such low levels of enthusiasm may not translate to actually casting a ballot.
Second, as the American Enterprise Institute’s new “Socially Distant: How Our Divided Social Networks Explain Our Politics” survey reveals, just 7% of Gen Zers have a very favorable view of Biden while another 40% have a favorable view – making for a 47% overall favorability rating. While this is appreciably higher than Trump’s 20% favorability rating, it is anything but a landslide of support from younger Americans for Biden. My students regularly share the fact that they have trouble getting behind Biden given his history of inappropriately touching women and his less than consistent left-of-center positions. This fact, along with the Harvard enthusiasm data, again suggests that the drive to vote for Biden may indeed be lower than many narratives assert; candidates need to inspire voters to drive turnout. LINK
Their stories were consistent: Gen Zers were having trouble accepting Joe Biden as their candidate of choice and staying home and opting out was appealing to them. Despite my comments that this could lead to a second Trump term, students consistently said that Biden did not inspire them. New survey data suggests that Gen Z’s turnout may be overstated. Politicos should take note.
First, the fall youth poll from Harvard’s Institute of Politics finds a significant enthusiasm gap between the candidates: 56% of America’s 18-to-29-year-old likely voters who support Trump are "very enthusiastic" about voting for him. This stands in stark contrast to just 35% of likely voters who back Biden. Those in Gen Z are generally not excited about the Democratic nominee and tell me that they were deflated when more progressive candidates dropped out of the race. Such low levels of enthusiasm may not translate to actually casting a ballot.
Second, as the American Enterprise Institute’s new “Socially Distant: How Our Divided Social Networks Explain Our Politics” survey reveals, just 7% of Gen Zers have a very favorable view of Biden while another 40% have a favorable view – making for a 47% overall favorability rating. While this is appreciably higher than Trump’s 20% favorability rating, it is anything but a landslide of support from younger Americans for Biden. My students regularly share the fact that they have trouble getting behind Biden given his history of inappropriately touching women and his less than consistent left-of-center positions. This fact, along with the Harvard enthusiasm data, again suggests that the drive to vote for Biden may indeed be lower than many narratives assert; candidates need to inspire voters to drive turnout. LINK
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:53 am to Jbird
Hence the push for mail in ballots
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:54 am to Teauxler
Yep. They’ll just fill out the ballot for those that don’t show up.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:56 am to Jbird
A lot of Gen Z loves our President and those who do WILL be showing up!
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:56 am to Jbird
They never do and for good reason. You only get a small amount of youth in a rather long life, and why waste it on boring shet like voting?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 10:58 am to Jbird
Young radicals have something to gain with a Trump win.
They can finally dump these old arse establishment democrat leaders.
They can finally dump these old arse establishment democrat leaders.
This post was edited on 10/9/20 at 11:03 am
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:00 am to Tiger985
Bernie found this out.
His young voters wore his shirts, supported him in the polls, but did not show up to vote on election day.
His young voters wore his shirts, supported him in the polls, but did not show up to vote on election day.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:02 am to Jbird
Gen Z is too busy displacing millennials in the job market. They’ll vote next time.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:05 am to Jbird
quote:
they have trouble getting behind Biden given his history of inappropriately touching women
Are you serious with this?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:06 am to ianfson1
quote:Not my words.
Are you serious with this?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:07 am to Jbird
We love our principled far-left Zoomers who won't easily give their votes away to milquetoast DemE candidates like Biden, don't we amigos?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:08 am to Jbird
if there was an APP to vote with Gen Z wold be all over it..... and then post it to Instagram.....
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:12 am to tigeraddict
quote:
if there was an APP to vote with Gen Z
My exact thought. They love “liking” content and virtue signaling, but how likely are they to go find where they vote. Do they even know how to send mail?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:16 am to BarberitosDawg
quote:voting literally takes one minute, or less if you study the issues and know whom you’re voting for
You only get a small amount of youth in a rather long life, and why waste it on boring shet like voting?
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:18 am to Jbird
We never were....
We're worried about the fact the Dems aren't even hiding the fact they will cast Gen Z's vote FOR them.
Absent fraud, this election is a Trump landslide.
We're worried about the fact the Dems aren't even hiding the fact they will cast Gen Z's vote FOR them.
Absent fraud, this election is a Trump landslide.
Posted on 10/9/20 at 11:31 am to Jbird
quote:
Gen Z
will only vote when it can be done by smartphone
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