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Started By
Message
Upset brewing in California recall election? Poll shows tossup on Newsom recall
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:36 am
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:36 am
LINK
Just going off the last two presidencies, we’re due for a least one shocking special election result during a president’s first term. I doubt this is it but but I do hope this is it because the only way for this Covid insanity to end is for the left and democrats to have consequences imposed on them and a brutal upset in California of all places would be a great start.
Also if Newsom survives this, he's going to be even more emboldened and the pain will be even worse.
quote:
CALIFORNIA RECALL POLL
Vote to recall Gavin Newsom - 46%
Vote to keep Gavin Newsom - 48%
Undecided - 6%
Ashley Zavala
@ZavalaA
BREAKING: New Inside California Politics/Emerson College Poll shows support for the recall of Governor Gavin Newsom has increased just in the last couple of weeks.
54% of Hispanic respondents say they would vote to recall the Governor.
This poll went out over the weekend to 1,000 California voters.
Respondent part affiliation breakdown:
46% DEMOCRATS
23% REPUBLICANS
30% NO PARTY PREFERENCE
quote:
Just going off the last two presidencies, we’re due for a least one shocking special election result during a president’s first term. I doubt this is it but but I do hope this is it because the only way for this Covid insanity to end is for the left and democrats to have consequences imposed on them and a brutal upset in California of all places would be a great start.
Also if Newsom survives this, he's going to be even more emboldened and the pain will be even worse.
13
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:39 am to Sentrius
Recall elections / special elections are notoriously hard to handicap.
My gut feeling is that Newsom is a dead duck because he pissed off too many people in the past year. Even with ballot harvesting and election frickery, the state party may decide they are better off picking a successor than saving him.
My gut feeling is that Newsom is a dead duck because he pissed off too many people in the past year. Even with ballot harvesting and election frickery, the state party may decide they are better off picking a successor than saving him.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:39 am to Sentrius
Vote to recall Gavin Newsom - 46%
Vote to keep Gavin Newsom - 48%
Dominion - + 3%
Vote to keep Gavin Newsom - 48%
Dominion - + 3%
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:40 am to Sentrius
quote:
Also if Newsom survives this, he's going to be even more emboldened and the pain will be even worse.
Democrats always view a small victory as a clear mandate.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:40 am to teke184
I do not see how anyone would not vote to remove him.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:44 am to imjustafatkid
quote:
Democrats always view a small victory as a clear mandate.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:44 am to Baylor Kyle
Ballot harvesting and machine politics in California.
SF voting is notoriously dirty, with ballot boxes turning up in the bay, and Newsom will likely be funding the harvesting crews to get entire nursing homes to vote for him.
SF voting is notoriously dirty, with ballot boxes turning up in the bay, and Newsom will likely be funding the harvesting crews to get entire nursing homes to vote for him.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:44 am to Sentrius
Don’t worry. There will be mail in ballots because of Covid.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:45 am to MeatCleaverWeaver
quote:
Vote to recall Gavin Newsom - 46%
Vote to keep Gavin Newsom - 48%
Dominion - + 3%
This.
Really hope Larry E takes it
Caitlin Jenners campaign is broke
quote:
There will be mail in ballots because of Covid.
It was always gonna be mail in
Also lulz at everything lolin at me saying Cali b red
This post was edited on 8/3/21 at 10:47 am
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:47 am to Sentrius
Do they vote for an alternative candidate or just an up/down recall?
If it’s the latter, he might be fricked. But you know there will be some fraud.
If it’s the latter, he might be fricked. But you know there will be some fraud.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:51 am to goofball
You get the ballot.
It's yes or no to Gav being Gov
If no then you circle who you want to replace him
That's it
And he's not even listed on the Ballot as a Dem
It's yes or no to Gav being Gov
If no then you circle who you want to replace him
That's it
And he's not even listed on the Ballot as a Dem
Posted on 8/3/21 at 10:57 am to Sentrius
Who controls the election fraud network in California. They will say if there is an upset.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:00 am to GhostOfFreedom
Anybody able to explain the "fraud" in St. Tammany parish on that map?
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:05 am to Sentrius
ANNNNNNND....
...Newsom will have just enough votes.
...Newsom will have just enough votes.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:06 am to Jake88
quote:
Anybody able to explain the "fraud" in St. Tammany parish on that map?
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:12 am to Jake88
quote:
Anybody able to explain the "fraud" in St. Tammany parish on that map?
This is what I found:
LINK
quote:
In the following pages you will find maps and charts that flag each county as red, yellow or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the trends, or diverged in statistically unlikely ways:
The flaw in this analysis is that counties/parishes that have always been cheatings show up as green like Orleans Parish. Parishes with a lot of suburban women likely went against historical trends in 2020, like St. Tammany (albeit still voting for Trump).
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:16 am to teke184
quote:
the state party may decide they are better off picking a successor than saving him.
the state party did not run a successor.
it's a simultaneous process.
if recall is passed the republicans plurality winner is governor even if only 35% of votes.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:19 am to CelticDog
Remember when you lied and said this was a Republican led recall
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:19 am to Sentrius
He’ll be re-elected. There are multiple republicans running which will split votes. Larry Elder is running ads whining about how Newsom was dining indoors while we were stuck at home. That’s his campaign. It’s a joke but he’ll get votes that could go to Cox, who Newsom beat in the last election.
Posted on 8/3/21 at 11:20 am to Sentrius
Y'all are forgetting about all the main in ballots and ballot harvesting the Dems can do to keep Newsome. He isn't going anywhere lol
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