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re: Downside Protection on Pullback

Posted on 1/21/21 at 8:45 pm to
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82056 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 8:45 pm to
quote:

most don't like to acknowledge potential downturns
this is simply not true.
quote:

but I think it's prudent to have a plan.
of course. But the plan does not need to be reactionary, because that makes you more likely to panic and act on emotion. The plan needs to factor in potential downturns at any time. Be it rebalancing (this includes taking profits) , trimming overweight positions etc.
Not when you feel like it, because history says you're likely to be wrong as you'd have to time entry and exit.

There was a poster here that had an interesting strategy, Iowa Golfer, I believe. Can't remember the specifics, but the gist was to buy puts and just view the premium as insurance for his holdings. "people insure everything else, why not their portfolios" was his MO.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 9:10 pm
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
4458 posts
Posted on 1/22/21 at 7:28 am to
quote:

My target for the DOW was 32,000 and we are almost there. Other than some long term holdings I'm confident in, I'm pairing down and waiting for another buying opportunity.


Similar outlook here. I'm expecting a pullback into the $3480 range for S&P in the next few weeks, before the S&P subsequently rallies to $4400+ by this time next year.

I took some YE profits and increased cash levels awaiting an entry point trigger for several targeted equities.

Those of us in the 60+ age group are likely forced to play it differently than younger investors that can spread market risk over a longer measurement period .... Just my dos centavo$ .....
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