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re: Why is Texas's COVID death rate almost 50% higher than California's?
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:04 pm to bbvdd
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:04 pm to bbvdd
quote:
Here is what I don’t understand, why is the us death rate static with last year’s during a pandemic?
Because it's not. Through September of 2020, 73,000 more people had died than in 2019. Extrapolated through the end of 2020 and using the death rate from the previous 3 months of July, Aug and Sept, it works out to about 240,000 more deaths.
This post was edited on 1/1/21 at 10:07 pm
2
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:11 pm to lazy
quote:
Because it's not. Through September of 2020, 73,000 more people had died than in 2019. Extrapolated through the end of 2020 and using the death rate from the previous 3 months of July, Aug and Sept, it works out to about 240,000 more deaths.
Yeah, there will be more deaths this year than 2019. Will be interesting to see the final figures. The number of deaths has been increasing every year, so some increase would have happened even without Covid.
On a state by state basis, I'll bet that many won't have much, if any, excess mortality. The numbers will be skewed by big states like NY, NJ and PA that seeded their nursing homes with Covid + patients.
Posted on 1/1/21 at 10:12 pm to lazy
I don’t think comparing this year to last year proves the argument either way. It would be silly to expect there to be the same number of deaths every year.
We also have an aging population so the trend should always be going up.
We also have an aging population so the trend should always be going up.
This post was edited on 1/1/21 at 10:13 pm
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