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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - October 19, 2020 Update: +202 cases; +16 deaths; +3 hospitalized

Posted on 10/19/20 at 12:08 pm to
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36754 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 12:08 pm to
I'm sure it's been said BUT what is the false positive %? Sabans 3 negative tests after the positive got me wondering again.

And are there other viruses that a person can have but be asymptomatic (other than HIV I can't think of any off hand)??
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
24114 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

I'm sure it's been said BUT what is the false positive %? Sabans 3 negative tests after the positive got me wondering again.



Why are you concerned about that? False positives clearly only happen to NFL athletes, Saban, and other "celebrity" type places...doesn't happen to normal people everyday...
Posted by lostinbr
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2017
9611 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I'm sure it's been said BUT what is the false positive %? Sabans 3 negative tests after the positive got me wondering again

1-2% (98-99% specificity, for the PCR testing). That said, the impact of false positives on overall numbers is a function of the “true” positivity rate, since you have to also factor in the 20-40% false negative rate (60-80% sensitivity). The lower the “true” positive rate, the larger the impact of false positives. If the true positivity rate is >5% or so (among those being tested) then the false negatives would be expected to outweigh the false positives. Below 5%, false positives outweigh the false negatives.
quote:

And are there other viruses that a person can have but be asymptomatic (other than HIV I can't think of any off hand)??

Tons. Something like 50% of influenza infections are asymptomatic.
Posted by tigergirl10
Member since Jul 2019
10325 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

And are there other viruses that a person can have but be asymptomatic
HPV
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