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was the last "boom" driven totally by debt?

Posted on 8/4/08 at 1:25 pm
Posted by MileHigh
Most likely a mile high
Member since Jan 2004
7920 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 1:25 pm
Read this on minyanville today.
Without mortgage equity withdrawls, we would have seen negative GDP growth in 01/02, and anemic growth in 03 - 06.



Minyvalle article about economy, trhe subject of this post is about half way down.

If this is true, then it would appear that we really never recovered from the 00 tech bust.
Posted by TigerDeacon
West Monroe, LA
Member since Sep 2003
29849 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

was the last "boom" driven totally by debt?


Yes, but I have paid it all off now. Look for a rebound soon.
Posted by ehidal1
Chief Boot Knocka
Member since Dec 2007
37318 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 1:44 pm to
Also remember, to help the companies sales improve from that 9/11 recession, everyone started the 0 % interest loans for goods during that time.
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12264 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 2:29 pm to
That chart is based on an assumption that 50% of Mew directly affects GDP (Greenspan stated atleast that). Either way, I believe it.
Posted by tirebiter
7K R&G chile land aka SF
Member since Oct 2006
10703 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 7:47 pm to
I saw that on another blog, certainly doesn't come as a surprise.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
102836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
45676 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 7:59 pm to
Yup, and the previous boom was driven totally by fools-gold mining of dot-com companies who's entire value had absolutely nothing to do with the ability to sell a product and generate cash. 1000% speculationville.

So the last two economic run-ups (the past 20 years worth) have been based on nothing but a smoke cloud.

That's some scary shiite.
Posted by Cincinnatus
Member since Nov 2007
49 posts
Posted on 8/4/08 at 8:13 pm to
Good Point.
Kinda scary.
Posted by Colonel Hapablap
Mostly Harmless
Member since Nov 2003
28791 posts
Posted on 8/5/08 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Yup, and the previous boom was driven totally by fools-gold mining of dot-com companies who's entire value had absolutely nothing to do with the ability to sell a product and generate cash. 1000% speculationville.

not entirely true. A lot of real efficiency gains happened in the 1990s and a number of good and sustainable businesses came from it.
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