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re: Do people REALLY not understand why you go for two after the first TD when down 15?
Posted on 9/21/20 at 9:35 pm to Roger Klarvin
Posted on 9/21/20 at 9:35 pm to Roger Klarvin
quote:let’s preface that. It’s better until about 9:00 left in the fourth quarter. Any later, and it’s simply too late in the game to risk being down by two scores
It is objective, statistical fact that going for two after the first TD when down by 15 is the right move.
2
Posted on 9/21/20 at 9:38 pm to chalmetteowl
quote:What?
Any later, and it’s simply too late in the game to risk being down by two scores
You do realize you're going to be down 2 scores either way if you miss the 2pt conversion?
The OP's point, something I've been talking about for years on here, is people assume being down 8 points is a 1 possession game when at least 50% of the time if not more you're still down 2 possessions when you're down 8.
The issue is assuming you're down 1 possession so you don't rush and play it accordingly and you end up scoring and missing the 2pt conversion but with little or not enough time on the clock.
This post was edited on 9/21/20 at 9:40 pm
Posted on 9/21/20 at 9:38 pm to chalmetteowl
quote:
let’s preface that. It’s better until about 9:00 left in the fourth quarter. Any later, and it’s simply too late in the game to risk being down by two scores
IT DOESNT MATTER HOW MUCH TIME IS LEFT
You aren’t “risking being down two scores”, you’re finding out if you’ll need an extra possession as early as possible. If you miss after scoring the second TD, you’re STILL DOWN A SCORE but have now played yourself into a position where you may not be able to do anything meaningful about it.
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