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A Trump-Harris 2nd term is not too far fetched if Biden-Trump split the electoral college
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:17 pm
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:17 pm
You read that right.....Harris as VP to Trump. Here's how that could happen:
LINK
What a crazy end to 2020 a Trump-Harris administration would be.
quote:
First off, you need a 269-269 electoral college tie:
Plenty has been discussed about how either Joe Biden or Donald Trump can secure a majority in the electoral college this year. One item that has not been discussed as much is what happens if the electoral college’s 538 votes come down to a 269-269 tie.
A very realistic tie scenario could come down to Biden taking back Michigan and Wisconsin from Trump, but failing to do so in Wisconsin or elsewhere. If Biden loses the Maine 2nd like Clinton, but gains the Nebraska 2nd; this would lead to a tie.
Another possible tie would involve Biden taking back Michigan and Wisconsin, but failing to take back Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, he takes Arizona – a state with continued DEM trends. This would lead to a tie as well.
quote:
Second: Trump wins the Contingent Election in the House 26-23-1, which is very likely
quote:
Lastly: In a Contingent Election, the VP is chosen by the Senate. If the Dems manage to flip the Senate and get to 51, they will likely vote Harris in as VP.
Senate Procedures
The procedures for the US Senate are much less convoluted than the House. We have 100 Senators, and 51 votes gets you the Vice Presidency. In a tie, the current Vice President would presumably be the tie-breaker. So yes, this does lead to a scenario where a 50-50 tie from the elections leads to outgoing Vice President Mike Pence casting a ballot for himself to remain on the job. Of course, if the House has failed to pick a President, this would make him the acting President as a result.
Right now, the Senate stands at 53 Republicans, 47 Democrats. To get Harris as VP (or President), Democrats must net four seats. This will be a tough haul itself; as Alabama Democrat Doug Jones is going to struggle to win re-election. Democrats have good chances to take flip Colorado, Arizona, Maine, and North Carolina. If they can hold Alabama, or replace it with Montana, Georgia, Iowa, or Alaska; they can get to 51 – which would allow Harris to win.
Conclusion
So…. how likely is any of this? The map logic is sound – and all it takes is a very states going a specific way. 5%? I’m not a forecaster. But the chance is there. The question then becomes, does anyone get to 26 delegations in the house? Who wins the VP vote in the Senate? It is also entirely possibly a Trump win in the House could be paired with a Harris VP win. How about a Trump-Harris administration?
Can’t rule it out.
LINK
What a crazy end to 2020 a Trump-Harris administration would be.
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:18 pm to rickgrimes
Couldnt Trump just fire her
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:21 pm to rickgrimes
Trump could thus name his VP 'Special Envoy to ANTIFA'
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:21 pm to rickgrimes
What an epic shite show a 269 tie would be
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:23 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Couldnt Trump just fire her
VP is a federally ELECTED position, not an appointee, so no.
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:31 pm to rickgrimes
Damn. This would end Kamala's streak of fricking her boss to get a promotion.
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:33 pm to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
Damn. This would end Kamala's streak of fricking her boss to get a promotion.
Would it?
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:36 pm to The Easter Bunny
Only if Trump dies in the process.
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:51 pm to rickgrimes
quote:Get ready for impeachment inquiries on steroids if removing Trump means Harris automatically takes his place
What a crazy end to 2020 a Trump-Harris administration would be.
Posted on 9/8/20 at 11:57 pm to rickgrimes
I now better understand the phrase: mental masturbation.
Posted on 9/9/20 at 12:06 am to rickgrimes
And if my grandmother had a dick I'd call her pappy.
Posted on 9/9/20 at 1:21 am to Pelican fan99
quote:
What an epic shite show a 269 tie would be
A 269-269 tie would just be the start of the shite show. If the Dems manage to pick off only one Florida house seat, that turns that delegation neutral and will result in a 25R-23D state delegates. You need 26 to break the tie, so this results in an also-plausibly-tied Senate vote. If both the House and Senate tie, the next congress votes, not the current one. If the Dems actually flip the Senate, Pelosi could very well deny a quorum to vote on the President in the House. The Senate then votes by simple majority on the VP, who then serves as President if no House vote is held before March 4. I imagine a lot of heads will explode if that happens.
Posted on 9/10/20 at 9:29 am to Street Hawk
Be surprised if a tie happens and dems win the senate. I could see a tie and GOPe try to get a Biden/pence thing cause that is what the GOPe is about
Posted on 9/10/20 at 9:43 am to Street Hawk
quote:
A 269-269 tie would just be the start of the shite show. If the Dems manage to pick off only one Florida house seat, that turns that delegation neutral and will result in a 25R-23D state delegates. You need 26 to break the tie, so this results in an also-plausibly-tied Senate vote. If both the House and Senate tie, the next congress votes, not the current one. If the Dems actually flip the Senate, Pelosi could very well deny a quorum to vote on the President in the House. The Senate then votes by simple majority on the VP, who then serves as President if no House vote is held before March 4. I imagine a lot of heads will explode if that happens.
DC would be a smoldering ruin by then
Posted on 9/15/20 at 9:14 pm to rickgrimes
Go suck three more dicks
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