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re: LSUnurse and other AZ posters, some evidence of a crest in Arizona hospitalizations
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:42 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:42 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
A couple of issues with the 7 day average spreadsheet:
1. The net disregards the 400+ per day average that is being discharged, and
2. Fails to take into account deaths.
So, in reality there are approx. 450+ per day being newly hospitalized.
Check the other tabs under the the Hospital Metrics tabs and you will see that ICU covid admits and patients on vents are rising. Also see the daily intubation tab, only 66 (iirc) for yesterday, but over 100 for most of the recent past.
Net number of hospitalizations is a worthless metric for trying to get a picture of what is actually happening. This is one of my biggest grips with LDH reporting.
ETA: Arizona by far has the most transparent reporting of any of the States websites and provides by far the most information.
1. The net disregards the 400+ per day average that is being discharged, and
2. Fails to take into account deaths.
So, in reality there are approx. 450+ per day being newly hospitalized.
Check the other tabs under the the Hospital Metrics tabs and you will see that ICU covid admits and patients on vents are rising. Also see the daily intubation tab, only 66 (iirc) for yesterday, but over 100 for most of the recent past.
Net number of hospitalizations is a worthless metric for trying to get a picture of what is actually happening. This is one of my biggest grips with LDH reporting.
ETA: Arizona by far has the most transparent reporting of any of the States websites and provides by far the most information.
This post was edited on 7/13/20 at 1:44 pm
1
Posted on 7/13/20 at 1:46 pm to Curtis Lowe
quote:If you are looking for the most accurate snapshot of the current situation, yes. But if you are looking at trends (flattening the curve, etc.) it provides some useful information. It's more useful than total confirmed positives for sure.
Net number of hospitalizations is a worthless metric for trying to get a picture of what is actually happening.
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