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re: 7,890 deaths in NYC as of this morning. How many w/o underlying conditions?

Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:20 pm to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
114118 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:20 pm to
I’m into whatever the debate is at the moment. And it doesn’t help the “is it worth it” argument to quote Candace and her idiocy.
Posted by LSUfanGuy13
Member since Mar 2017
432 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

75 and older


Some of you are disgusting.
Posted by MeatCleaverWeaver
Member since Oct 2013
22175 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

.091% out of total population of 8.7MM


Probably more like .05 if you take the cookin’ out of the books (people who were critically ill and caught the virus).
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
114118 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Why would COVID's mortality rate be compared to the mortality rate of the typical/average 70 yo? The typical/average COVID victim is not a typical 70 yo.


I’m sure buckeye was talking about the discussion here. A 70 year old dies, “they were gonna die tomorrow anyway! They were 70 fer chrissakes!!”
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
19345 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

I’m into whatever the debate is at the moment. And it doesn’t help the “is it worth it” argument to quote Candace and her idiocy.


What are you talking about?
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
19345 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

I’m sure buckeye was talking about the discussion here. A 70 year old dies, “they were gonna die tomorrow anyway! They were 70 fer chrissakes!!”


Well, I don't follow the discussion here that closely. My argument wasn't anything like "they were gonna die tomorrow anyway? They were 70 for chrissakes!!"
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35309 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

I’m sure buckeye was talking about the discussion here. A 70 year old dies, “they were gonna die tomorrow anyway! They were 70 fer chrissakes!!”
Exactly. Or they might add something like “o they had hypertension,” as if that’s some abnormal phenomenon at that age that is a death sentence with no medicine to keep it under control.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28896 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

Why would COVID's mortality rate be compared to the mortality rate of the typical/average 70 yo?
Because that's how mortality rates are viewed in general? It's a rate.
Posted by keks tadpole
Yellow Leaf Creek
Member since Feb 2017
7765 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Probably more like .05 if you take the cookin’ out of the books (people who were critically ill and caught the virus).


Drop it to .015% if they had closed the subways.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
19345 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Exactly. Or they might add something like “o they had hypertension,” as if that’s some abnormal phenomenon at that age that is a death sentence with no medicine to keep it under control.


Okay, fair enough. I took your post out of the context of the looney trail of "they were going to die tomorrow anyway."

I thought you were suggesting that the vast majority of COVID deaths are NOT elderly with serious underlying comorbidities, very different from a 70 yo person with a 2.3% mortality rate.

Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
19345 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

Because that's how mortality rates are viewed in general? It's a rate.


Sure. Mortality rates are all the same regardless of age and health. How did I not know that?
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28896 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Sure. Mortality rates are all the same regardless of age and health. How did I not know that?
That's not what I said. It's this type of back and forth strawman "debate" that is the problem.
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3669 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Obesity and hypertension are both conditions caused by a person's own damn choices and don't apply to healthy and responsible parts of the population, so hell yeah they should be counted as underlying conditions


Since you clearly have little understanding of this topic...

There are significantly more adults with HTN NOT caused by their own decisions, than say obesity. Not to mention, an individual who has HTN but has it controlled with medication (or in mild cases just dietary changes), still has the diagnosis of HTN. Once you lose weight, you are no longer obese.

As someone mentioned earlier, HTN should be stratified in order to accurately determine its significance as a risk factor for mortality. And as I am mentioning now, an individual does not have equal control over developing these particular comorbidities, like you clearly believe.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
19345 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

Since you clearly have little understanding of this topic...

There are significantly more adults with HTN NOT caused by their own decisions, than say obesity. Not to mention, an individual who has HTN but has it controlled with medication (or in mild cases just dietary changes), still has the diagnosis of HTN. Once you lose weight, you are no longer obese.

As someone mentioned earlier, HTN should be stratified in order to accurately determine its significance as a risk factor for mortality. And as I am mentioning now, an individual does not have equal control over developing these particular comorbidities, like you clearly believe.


This is a month old so it may have changed given how fluid the "science of C-19" is. But from 3/20 -

The coronavirus is especially dangerous for older people and people with other health problems, such as diabetes, heart disease and weak immune systems.

But are people who only have high blood pressure also in greater peril?

It's an important question because one out of every three Americans has this condition, which is also known as hypertension.

The short answer appears to be: People with high blood pressure may be at increased risk, especially if it's not under control and they have other health problems. But if their blood pressure is under control and they don't have other risk factors, they probably are not at any greater peril, experts say.

"It does not make a lot of sense that if somebody is otherwise healthy and young and they have hypertension alone, that they should be at increased risk," says Dr. Mariell Jessup, chief science and medical officer at the American Heart Association.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35309 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

hypertension are both conditions caused by a person's own damn choices
What? It’s common knowledge that although things like diet and exercise play a role (and can help), hypertension has a major genetic component (along with a number of other conditions that are at-risk).
Posted by mets69
youngsville
Member since Dec 2012
235 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:39 pm to
.000004827 per cent of people who died in NYC without an underlying condition from covid 19. Can a reasonable person tell me why we should not open the good ole USA
Posted by SevenLinesofPine
Mississippi
Member since Feb 2013
746 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

There are significantly more adults with HTN NOT caused by their own decisions, than say obesity. Not to mention, an individual who has HTN but has it controlled with medication (or in mild cases just dietary changes), still has the diagnosis of HTN. Once you lose weight, you are no longer obese.


Found the person with hypertension, making the same argument that fat people do about obesity.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28896 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

.000004827 per cent of people who died in NYC without an underlying condition from covid 19. Can a reasonable person tell me why we should not open the good ole USA
For one thing, your percentage is wrong by two orders of magnitude. Fully 100X error. An error of 10,000%, in other words.

Second, you are ignoring the 2k people for whom the underlying conditions are unknown. This means that your calculation could be wrong by up to 450,000%.

Third, you are severely underestimating the number of people who have underlying conditions. What percentage of people do you think are in perfect health?


So if you want to have a reasonable discussion, maybe start by being reasonable yourself.
Posted by YipSkiddlyDooo
Member since Apr 2013
3669 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Found the person with hypertension, making the same argument that fat people do about obesity.


No, you found the physician who actually understands the diseases you decided to be an expert on.
Posted by mets69
youngsville
Member since Dec 2012
235 posts
Posted on 4/18/20 at 4:10 pm to
Sorry I used liberal models. I know they are always wrong, so my bad. Do you get the humor about lib's models.
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