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re: The Curve Has Been Flattened Then What

Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:57 am to
Posted by SidewalkTiger
Midwest, USA
Member since Dec 2019
53490 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 11:57 am to
quote:

Yeah, it's to spread it out. And to save people who would be impacted by overwhelmed ICUs.






How is it being spread out when the vast majority of everyone is at home?

Even a dumbarse can see there will likely be a huge spike once everything opens again.
Posted by NoSaint
Member since Jun 2011
11362 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Even a dumbarse can see there will likely be a huge spike once everything opens again.


Let’s say capacity is 1000 beds (totally made up)- would you prefer a couple rolling spikes to 800 hospitalized, or a main spike of 1500 at the same time needing beds/vents?
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
31229 posts
Posted on 3/29/20 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

How is it being spread out when the vast majority of everyone is at home?




All sorts of folks are still out and about. Everybody still shops for food etc. It's just lessened the constant exposure we have to each other. so the spike yo see now is likely to be the worst plus we are pushing toward warmer weather which will slow down less direct spread from contaminated surface contact (like doorknobs).

quote:

Even a dumbarse can see there will likely be a huge spike once everything opens again


Dumarses have a way of thinking they see something that isn't really what ends up happening. But they'll surely crow about the one in ten they get right.

I, for one, do not feel like I know enough to make a call as to what will actually happen.
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