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re: Coronavirus going to hit its peak and start falling sooner than you think
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:34 am to Presidio
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:34 am to Presidio
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things. We have so many people walking around and spreading the disease without showing any signs of symptoms. We’re a long was from being out of the woods. And many of the people testing positive passed it to people that are just now starting the incubation period.
It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.
It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.
6
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:40 am to MightyYat
quote:
And many of the people testing positive passed it to people that are just now starting the incubation period.
Not necessarily? If they test positive today but we’re truly positive for days no telling how many they infected before. Yikes.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 12:53 am to MightyYat
quote:
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things. We have so many people walking around and spreading the disease without showing any signs of symptoms. We’re a long was from being out of the woods. And many of the people testing positive passed it to people that are just now starting the incubation period.
It’s going to be an interesting couple of weeks.
My wife is an ER nurse at one of the local hospitals and just finished her second shift in a row. She said that they’ve really started coming in today with the three symptoms, but that they won’t know until the results come back on those that were tested. She expects the numbers to really start increasing once those results are in, but the problem is that it can take 2-3 days to get them back.
She said it’s already here (we only have a handful of local cases in our MSA), and that the number will show it by the end of the week for our area.
This is anecdotal, so take it for what it’s worth. If you can distance yourselves for a while, it’ll help.
Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:07 am to MightyYat
quote:
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things
We also test more people every day than we did the day before. As long as testing continues to increase (given how few have still been tested in the US) it will be awhile still until we have a clearer big picture outlook. Nobody has any idea how many people are infected at the moment.
Until recoveries start outpacing new confirmed cases, it will be business as usual
Posted on 3/18/20 at 1:26 am to MightyYat
quote:
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things.
The growth today was likely due to more people were tested, and not because of an increase in newly infected people otherwise the death rate would trend upward, it has trended down as testing increased. today had a bump up, but one day does not make a trend.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 1:43 am
Posted on 3/18/20 at 8:09 am to MightyYat
quote:and the deaths went down and the recoveries spiked up. The overall trend for the last 7-8 days has been positive, not negative.
Today was the 2nd highest growth rate since the US started tracking these things
quote:the current actual statistics suggest otherwise. Now, things certainly could reverse course.
We’re a long was from being out of the woods
Posted on 3/18/20 at 11:07 am to MightyYat
quote:
We have so many people walking around and spreading the disease without showing any signs of symptoms. We’re a long was from being out of the woods
We had the virus BEFORE Italy yet they have 25X the deaths and 1/5 of the population and a much higher hospalization rate.
Their cases are also slowing down.Who's to say we won't peak soon?
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