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Can't say we weren't warned.

Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:12 pm
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
19553 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:12 pm
How Complex Systems Fail

Some highlights:
quote:

Complex systems are intrinsically hazardous systems.
All of the interesting systems (e.g. transportation, healthcare, power generation) are inherently and unavoidably hazardous by the own nature. The frequency of hazard exposure can sometimes be changed but the processes involved in the system are themselves intrinsically and irreducibly hazardous.
quote:

Complex systems run in degraded mode.
A corollary to the preceding point is that complex systems run as broken systems...after accident reviews nearly always note that the system has a history of prior ‘proto-accidents’ that nearly generated catastrophe. Arguments that these degraded conditions should have been recognized before the overt accident are usually predicated on naïve notions of system performance.
And the most significant point:
quote:

Catastrophe is always just around the corner.
Complex systems possess potential for catastrophic failure. Human practitioners are nearly always in close physical and temporal proximity to these potential failures – disaster can occur at any time and in nearly any place. The potential for catastrophic outcome is a hallmark of complex systems. It is impossible to eliminate the potential for such catastrophic failure; the potential for such failure is always present by the system’s own nature.
We are seeing this play out in real time, worldwide.

Strange days, indeed.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112666 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:13 pm to
Glad I am armed
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10856 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:13 pm to
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
65196 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:16 pm to
This wont affect some of these other countries near as bad because they dont have as much on the line. We are way too complicated
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 5:16 pm
Posted by Goforit
Member since Apr 2019
8699 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:40 pm to
Zombies are just around the corner... just wait
Posted by Nobelium
Member since May 2018
860 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:45 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/16/21 at 10:50 am
Posted by Moonlight
Florence, Italy
Member since Jan 2007
1171 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Zombies are just around the corner.

Half of Louisiana believes in Zombies
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94785 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:13 pm to
Posted by Arminius Miles
Mount Tabor
Member since Dec 2019
44 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:24 pm to
9/11 wasn't biblical... this is.

This is the climax, of the unraveling.

An unraveling that began on November 22, 1963 in the latest Fourth Turning (YouTube).
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466487 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

9/11 wasn't biblical... this is.

This is the climax, of the unraveling.

An unraveling that began on November 22, 1963 in the latest Fourth Turning (YouTube).


well i'm here for a bit
Posted by Arminius Miles
Mount Tabor
Member since Dec 2019
44 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:38 pm to
In the cycle of Generational Theory... we're hitting these 4th Turnings. The Wuhan, Great Depression, Civil War, Revolutionary War.

Typically these hit the younger generation hard (soldiers, infants, etc.), but this crisis isn't. It's targeting the older folks. The Boomers. It targets their lives, their 401K scam, their corrupt politicians, and so on. This thing is a Baby Boomer Buster. The generation that ripped apart every institution they inherited. Our way of life, our beliefs, and our national pride. This is a reckoning.

ETA: Can't have a Golden Age without a crisis. The bigger the crisis, the bigger the Golden Age. The entire planet is crashing and it's of the magnitude that would have been told in the Bible. Biblical.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 6:52 pm
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