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re: One other common theme from the "Democratic" debates tonight
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:53 am to Sneaky__Sally
Posted on 10/16/19 at 1:53 am to Sneaky__Sally
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 2:11 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:02 am to efrad
quote:
The same line of thinking was started in the industrial revolution. It didn't happen then and it won't happen now because automation ends up creating new jobs too. Agricultural machinery didn't put us on our asses, it paved the way for once-preoccupied humans to become computer programmers. Thus the problem is not unemployment but displacement as older jobs stop existing but much of the labor force is too old to start a new career.
This really is different in one big respect. The creation of more efficient tools and ultimately of mass production didn't invalidate people as an economic input. Agricultural machinery didn't put people on their asses because people were still needed to work the machines. You just only needed 1 guy instead of 10. The other 9 figured out something else to do. In that respect this form of "automation" of a sort was a boon, because someone somewhere needed to hire workers, so freeing up workers to do something else was ultimately good.
The difference here is that we're not talking about the car rendering the horse carriage obsolete, we're talking about robots rendering people obsolete. Aside from a few select jobs which will always need people and which generally require some kind of above-average cognitive ability, there is no "freeing up to do something else." People are increasingly becoming economic dead weight.
That doesn't necessarily mean that paying them $12,000 a year is the answer, but I'm glad Yang is at least out there bringing attention to the issue, whatever one might think about the solution he proposes.
Posted on 10/16/19 at 2:09 am to efrad
There was a significant amount of upheaval at the start of the industrial revolution and while they eventually settled into a new system with new jobs, there was also a lot of turmoil. I believe they also implemented universal high school as a result.
The tech / automation and AI wave is already hitting and just gaining steam. Over 90% of the jobs created in the last 10 years were gig work, part time with no benefits. While new, well paying, jobs will certainly be created, they will most likely not be jobs you and I are not trained / capable of filling (and will also likely be less in number as robots start to do human work). I personally think UBI is needed to help cushion ourselves, and the majority of our country, for the coming change.
I've enjoyed hitting some of these points with people with different views but need to go to bed. I'll try and check back tomorrow to see if anyone else is interested / curious about some of these policies.
The tech / automation and AI wave is already hitting and just gaining steam. Over 90% of the jobs created in the last 10 years were gig work, part time with no benefits. While new, well paying, jobs will certainly be created, they will most likely not be jobs you and I are not trained / capable of filling (and will also likely be less in number as robots start to do human work). I personally think UBI is needed to help cushion ourselves, and the majority of our country, for the coming change.
I've enjoyed hitting some of these points with people with different views but need to go to bed. I'll try and check back tomorrow to see if anyone else is interested / curious about some of these policies.
This post was edited on 10/16/19 at 2:16 am
Posted on 10/16/19 at 4:35 am to efrad
quote:
The same line of thinking was started in the industrial revolution. It didn't happen then and it won't happen now because automation ends up creating new jobs too. Agricultural machinery didn't put us on our asses, it paved the way for once-preoccupied humans to become computer programmers. Thus the problem is not unemployment but displacement as older jobs stop existing but much of the labor force is too old to start a new career.
Many of the problems mentioned in this thread are government created and would go away with deregulation, not adding more layers of bureaucracy and overhead to society.
This, this, and this. Trillions unemployed with the industrial revolution....dnt happen. Then, computers will do all our thinking and trillions out of work....dnt happen. AI is just an updated version of the aforementioned.
Universal wage has been tried. The thinking was, give them a wage and they would not be forced to work in a barista job, preventing them from having time to find a job better suited to their skills. It did not work, employment did not improve. The only positive result was people felt less stressed, no shat give me free money and I would be less stressed.
VAT is a good idea, if you did away with income tax. VAT would capture all the people evading traditional income tax, the people with private jobs under the table, the millions of illegals, etc. Would never pass, liberals would say its a burden on the poor to a greater extent than the wealthy.....course these same liberals have no problem passing some of the highest fuel taxes in the country which ALWAYS hit the poor most.
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