re: Abraham releases new poll- but is it really good for him?

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He might not... But I have talked to alot of folks here in Vernon parish and the news ain't good. Folks here despise Rispone now and most say that in the event of a runoff between Rispone and Edwards that they will stay home. Said they will never pull the lever for either one. I can only imagine that folks in north Louisiana think the same.... I'm afraid that if Rispone beats Ralph Abraham then JBE is a shoo in to be re-elected.

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I am not worried about Rispone in the runoff because Rispone will benefit from "the Trump effect" and Rispone will have access to the RGA's $30+ million the same way that Abraham would have if he made the runoff.

The strategy for the GOP since 2016 has been to have candidate(s) that can steal enough of the swing vote away from JBE to get him into a runoff then hit him with Trump hammer. What I am worried about is lying eddie's negative ads. Ralph Abraham is currently pulling in 11% of the democratic vote (if you believe the polls) and JBE is currently getting 19% of the republican vote. Half-truth Rispone's approach is going to push some of that 11% of the democratic vote back to JBE and might even increase the % of republicans that vote for JBE (just like Trump's approach in '16 mad 8-16% of republicans vote for HRC), and that is bad because JBE does not need much to push in over the 50.1% mark.

Most of the republicans on this board are #neverJBE and the between Abraham vs Rispone supporters is just for fun, but in the real world it is getting serious (or at least the polls say that it is) and that is why lying eddie needs to push himself up and hit JBE and leave Abraham alone.