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re: Trump can flip New Hampshire and/or Minnesota

Posted on 8/15/19 at 7:34 pm to
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
26187 posts
Posted on 8/15/19 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

What scares me is that Trump only won Michigan by 12k votes in 2016.... that’s such a minuscule margin. Will be extremely tough to do it again.


Donald Trump 47.3%
Hillary Clinton 47%
Gary Johnson 3.6% 172k votes

Trump is going to win Michigan again because there isn't any other Republican running against him
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13112 posts
Posted on 8/15/19 at 9:41 pm to
Meh, but plenty of libs voted for Jill Stein in 2016 too. I think both liberals and conservatives will be less likely to vote for third parties this time around with the stakes being so high.
Posted by cokebottleag
I’m a Santos Republican
Member since Aug 2011
24028 posts
Posted on 8/15/19 at 9:47 pm to
The left is typically cavalier about engaging in voter fraud on systematic levels. They become aggressive in doing so when they believe they need to do so to sway an election.

Republicans can only neutralize this in one of two ways:
- show some backbone when it happens (lol)
- outperform in surprising states and areas, catching the left by surprise, where they are unprepared with stacks of fake votes in someone’s trunk (yes, that happened once).

When the left is prepared, they win because they have time to fill out tens of thousands of “absentee” or “mail in” ballots. When they are caught unawares, GOP candidates win.

See WI, PA, MI. Those will not be caught unprepared a second time.
Posted by 225bred
COYS
Member since Jun 2011
20386 posts
Posted on 8/15/19 at 10:55 pm to
Great point! That’s encouraging

Hillary lost ~82k votes from Obama, largely black votes.
We have to hope they don’t turn out.
I don’t see blacks fired up for Biden/Sanders/Pocahontas
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