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re: Biden opens up 32 point lead in primary

Posted on 5/7/19 at 1:16 pm to
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20797 posts
Posted on 5/7/19 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Hmmm, where have we heard that before??


Probably from me in September 2015 when it became clear that Trump had a clear path to the nomination.

The difference here is I don’t think Biden is immune to gaffes or whatever like Trump was in 2015-16. When Trump encountered some headwinds or bad publicity, it just made him stronger because it took oxygen away from the other candidates. If Biden doesn’t look like a front runner in the debates, his numbers could drop because a lot of the Dem voters just want someone who could beat Trump. The problem is that the field is so large that it’s not like it would help any one candidate.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69358 posts
Posted on 5/7/19 at 1:19 pm to
The issue is that Biden is already polling in the 40s


In 2015 and early 16 trump was only in the 20s and low 30s


Biden only needs to win over a few of the supporters of other candidates to get to 50%
This post was edited on 5/7/19 at 1:20 pm
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