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re: Should MLB lower the mound again?
Posted on 4/5/19 at 1:36 pm to UltimateHog
Posted on 4/5/19 at 1:36 pm to UltimateHog
I think the strikeout totals are more of function of the htitters swinging for the fences more, so I don't think lowering the mound would do much. Right now, and it is early, hitters average 8.95 K per game, which is insanely high. But they also draw 3.57 walks per game (would be a record) while hitting 1.11 HR per game (just off the record pace).
The real problem is that hitters are batting .235 (and OPS of 706). For context, in the Year of the Pitcher, 1968, batters went 237/299/340 averging 5.89 K and 2.82 walks. And nearly half the level of home runs.
The problem is a simple war on math. The average game has nearly always had about 34 at bats. If you strikeout 9 times and hit one home run per game, that's 24 balls in play. At a league average 300 average BABIP, you'll get another 7 hits. 8 hit over 34 at bats is a .235 average. Right where they should be based on their K and HR numbers.
One day, a small market team with no budget is going to load up on speedy slap hitters.
The real problem is that hitters are batting .235 (and OPS of 706). For context, in the Year of the Pitcher, 1968, batters went 237/299/340 averging 5.89 K and 2.82 walks. And nearly half the level of home runs.
The problem is a simple war on math. The average game has nearly always had about 34 at bats. If you strikeout 9 times and hit one home run per game, that's 24 balls in play. At a league average 300 average BABIP, you'll get another 7 hits. 8 hit over 34 at bats is a .235 average. Right where they should be based on their K and HR numbers.
One day, a small market team with no budget is going to load up on speedy slap hitters.
2
Posted on 4/5/19 at 1:47 pm to Baloo
quote:
The real problem is that hitters are batting .235 (and OPS of 706). For context, in the Year of the Pitcher, 1968, batters went 237/299/340 averging 5.89 K and 2.82 walks. And nearly half the level of home runs.
It legitimately makes me smile every time I look at Gallo’s like for 2019.
.227/.433/.545.....leads the league in walks and has an OPS+ of 175. It’s incredibly hilarious.
Posted on 4/5/19 at 8:42 pm to Baloo
quote:
One day, a small market team with no budget is going to load up on speedy slap hitters.
Kyle Boddy, the founder of driveline baseball, was doing an AMA on Reddit today, so I asked him if that would work. Here’s what he said
quote:
It could work, but defense has gotten so good in the last 10-15 years and no one is really talking about that. Way more batted balls are being converted into outs than normal. The pendulum has swung back to defensive specialists because it's super hard to hit - think about Roberto Perez himself, who is one of the most valuable catchers in the league despite everyone hating his bat.
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