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re: Goldman Sachs believes the US economy will slow to a crawl next year

Posted on 11/19/18 at 12:36 pm to
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
134884 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 12:36 pm to
I've had a commercial developer tell me this a few months ago. Apparently, much of the commercial construction/real estate industry knows this is coming
Posted by Ag Zwin
Member since Mar 2016
20023 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I've had a commercial developer tell me this a few months ago. Apparently, much of the commercial construction/real estate industry knows this is coming



I'll take "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies" for $500, Alex.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
52904 posts
Posted on 11/20/18 at 7:31 am to
quote:

Apparently, much of the commercial construction/real estate industry knows this is coming




Interest rate hike? It will take a while for the developers to understand that passing along the interest rate increases in the cost of homes will deter selling of homes, with the already very high construction costs. The reason they've been able to get away with high construction costs right now is partly due to low interest.

It will correct itself out, but may take a few years. FWIW, i still think Goldman Sachs is full of shite, unless they are factoring in obstructionism from the left.
Posted by Vestigial Morgan
Member since Apr 2016
3048 posts
Posted on 11/20/18 at 9:13 am to
quote:

I've had a commercial developer tell me this a few months ago. Apparently, much of the commercial construction/real estate industry knows this is coming


Ive heard the same verbiage but with a tone of..."because it always does"
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