re: I am going into Tuesday night with the expectation that the dems will win the house

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A few things to consider

1) over the last 100 years, the average seat loss by the party in power has been 30. Some even “great” presidents such as FDR saw 70(!) seats gone.

2) Hillary Clinton, as bad as she face planted on election night 2016, won A TON of Romney districts. These voters aren’t magically changing

3) I still think too many trump voters are not taking it as seriously as key dem groups

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There are simply too many variables that polls can't predict.

- Turnout is historic in a really race changing way.
- Demographics and their voting habits could be shifting. We have really no way to know.
- Polls make educated guesses based on a number of factors which must remain relatively constant from election to election. If those factors are off, the polls are garbage.

We could see crazy shite this election, anything from the GOP actually picking seats UP in the house, to a 50-60 seat wave from the democrats and blue control of the senate. Anyone who says they are sure one way or the other is fricking lying. No one knows what's going to happen.

I do not feel good about the election going the way I want