re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland

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Still a lot of time to alter the forecast, but this may be a sign of things to come.

I don’t expect a major hurricane this early in the year, but definitely cannot rule out a tropical storm.

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Typically, early season activity isn't really a good indicator for overall activity, since storms take different development pathways later in the season.

For this current model system, there are some factors that favor development like the MJO & KW activity. However, SSTs aren't very impressive and shear looks to be pretty high.