Interesting poll results regarding American optimism for next 3 years: trump related

Trump is an a-hole on the personal level. That is not a controversial point to make and should be obvious to anyone. The thing is, sometimes assholes get support because they are bring good results as bosses and leaders. Some of the best coaches, CEOs, and entrepreneurs in history were and are notorious assholes.

We won't know if it is true or not until the actual next election happens, but there exists a possibility that because DJT is so much more of an a-hole than any prez in modern history (except maybe nixon), traditional favorable/unfavorable polls may not be adequate.

Nate Cohn, election guru over at NYT, noticed an interesting result from a recent national poll.

quote:

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Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next three years with Donald Trump as president?

Optimistic 50%
Pessimistic 46%
(CBS News Poll, 1/13-16/18)

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Here is Nate's quick thought:

quote:

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If I was asked to argue that Trump is much stronger than his ratings make him seem, I think this would be one of the more interesting poll questions could muster for my case.

I don't know enough about the question to say whether it's always biased towards optimism about the future. Maybe it is. But Quinnipiac asked a question like this before his inauguration and it was oddly good for Trump then, too

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We have zero clue what will happen in three years, but IF (big if) the economy continues to be pretty robust and economic optimism remains at 20 year highs, if we are not involved in any unpopular wars, if somehow infrastructure gets revamped...... I think people could be surprised at how much higher of a % donald trump gets in 2020 than what the % of people are that approve of him.