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re: Is Everything "In A Bubble" Right Now?

Posted on 9/20/17 at 9:46 am to
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
30622 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 9:46 am to
I don't agree that all have a bubble, and the type of bubble is important. The college student loan bubble is based on societal values. Societal values will change over time, but it's not gonna burst in a day. While a true stock market bubble could burst in a day. And tech startups aren't a bubble IMO, there are tons that fail and you'll never hear about them, you just hear about the ones that don't fail
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423392 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Societal values will change over time, but it's not gonna burst in a day. While a true stock market bubble could burst in a day.

yeah the student loan issue is a crisis created by bad government policy. it doesn't have the same immediate deflationary concerns (aka, the "pop") that a true bubble has. this is b/c it's not an area where money has flooded by private investment to create artificial inflation to pump and dump. also the value of the product is much more intangible than tactile property (a house, car, gold, cryptos, whatever). there is no secondary market for a college degree to be sold, and universities aren't going to slash tuitions by 50% in a year. it's just it's own crisis

quote:

And tech startups aren't a bubble IMO, there are tons that fail and you'll never hear about them, you just hear about the ones that don't fail

i think the big boys are a huge bubble and are creating bubbles within bubbles with their over-valued acquisitions

companies have to create profits at some point, and pumping all revenue into expansions to pump up stock prices is, by definition, creating a bubble. most tech companies are doing this with their primary stock and then creating insane inflation within smaller companies that they then acquire (aka, the big boys got pumped and dumped). it's just insane now
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