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re: Give it up, warhawks. NOKO war ain't happening.
Posted on 8/9/17 at 11:11 am to upgrayedd
Posted on 8/9/17 at 11:11 am to upgrayedd
quote:
I don't necessarily disagree with you, but you can never underestimate the psychological impact of drinking your own koolaid and 24/7 self affirmation.
When you're told you're infallible for an extended period of time, you begin to believe it's true.
I agree but I really don't think he's delusional enough to fire first. I think he still gets free and unfiltered information (unlike everyone else in NK) and by doing so he can see the vast discrepancies in forces.
3
Posted on 8/9/17 at 11:15 am to Bard
quote:
but I really don't think he's delusional enough to fire first
6 months ago I would have 100% agreed with you; not today.
Posted on 8/9/17 at 11:16 am to Bard
quote:
I agree but I really don't think he's delusional enough to fire first. I think he still gets free and unfiltered information (unlike everyone else in NK) and by doing so he can see the vast discrepancies in forces.
You may very well be correct. I'm just saying that type of environment can foster extremely radical and illogical behavior.
Posted on 8/9/17 at 11:23 am to Bard
quote:
I agree but I really don't think he's delusional enough to fire first. I think he still gets free and unfiltered information (unlike everyone else in NK) and by doing so he can see the vast discrepancies in forces.
oh, he knows he will lose. He is very aware of that. I doubt you could get to be leader of NK, and not be aware of that.
But the thing is we have no insight into the power dynamics of what is going on in NK. We have no clue about his grip on power, what generals control, what their sanity level is, popular support.
So we can't do much more than guess at what he will do. He will probably not strike first, but the reality is that he might. And bluster can escalate this, and we don't know how he will react to say we are going to destroy you. Will that force his hand? What would he do?
This post was edited on 8/9/17 at 11:24 am
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