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re: New poll: Roy Moore leading in Alabama senate election and runoff
Posted on 8/5/17 at 1:20 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 8/5/17 at 1:20 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
A N=426 IVR statewide survey is pretty much trash. A damn live caller survey with that cell size isn't going to be very reliable.
- Strange is in the mid 30's
- Moore is in low 30's
- Brooks is 15-16
1. Brooks was around 25 about a week after the shooting and then had an anvil dropped on his head. He's an average candidate with zero message discipline. He can't figure out who he wants to be or what he wants to say.
2. The negative ads used against him were and still are devastating. Trump's approval and favs among GOP primary voters in AL is in the high 80's. Mo is getting his head bashed in on TV and radio while getting sliced apart on digital and mail over his nasty Trump comments during the primary and running up to election day. He went on local radio last week and shite all over Trump yet again and then rolled out a new TV ad trying to wrap his arms around Trump.
Mo's upside down and doesn't have any room to breathe.
3. Moore has just been chilling while Mo and Luther have been hitting each other. Both Mo and Luther want to face Moore in a runoff, so he had been largely left alone until this week. Luther and his allies have enough money to keep their foot on Mo's neck while making sure Moore has some bark taken off of him heading into the runoff. The beneficiary of Moore dropping a bit is Luther. Luther gets roughly 56% of people that peel off of Moore.
The runoff is going to be Luther vs Moore and Luther is going to get 56-69% in the runoff.
- Strange is in the mid 30's
- Moore is in low 30's
- Brooks is 15-16
1. Brooks was around 25 about a week after the shooting and then had an anvil dropped on his head. He's an average candidate with zero message discipline. He can't figure out who he wants to be or what he wants to say.
2. The negative ads used against him were and still are devastating. Trump's approval and favs among GOP primary voters in AL is in the high 80's. Mo is getting his head bashed in on TV and radio while getting sliced apart on digital and mail over his nasty Trump comments during the primary and running up to election day. He went on local radio last week and shite all over Trump yet again and then rolled out a new TV ad trying to wrap his arms around Trump.
Mo's upside down and doesn't have any room to breathe. 3. Moore has just been chilling while Mo and Luther have been hitting each other. Both Mo and Luther want to face Moore in a runoff, so he had been largely left alone until this week. Luther and his allies have enough money to keep their foot on Mo's neck while making sure Moore has some bark taken off of him heading into the runoff. The beneficiary of Moore dropping a bit is Luther. Luther gets roughly 56% of people that peel off of Moore.
The runoff is going to be Luther vs Moore and Luther is going to get 56-69% in the runoff.
0
Posted on 8/5/17 at 1:31 am to NoMoreKnees
quote:
Mo has always been a conservative and will continue being one.
He's been a conservative since 2010. The guy is a career politician, bruh. He even brags about having held some sort of elected office for 35 years. During those 35 years, he's voted to raise taxes or create new taxes over 100 times.
quote:
I can not believe he can look in the mirror after what he and the establishment have said about Mo.
Pretty damn easy to look in it when the only ads run against Mo are his own words on camera that just happen to be shitting all over Trump and then DOUBLE DOWNING on it last week on talk radio.
Look, I get why he did it last week. He knows his campaign is in the shitter and he bet on the Sessions vs Trump feud spilling over into his race and it didn't.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 6:03 am to SirWinston
quote:
I want to trigger leftists and GOPe cucks so badly that I'm willing to give up my own principles at this point
Then that a lot about you and .... it isn't good.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 7:54 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Good. If you want to move the country just slightly to the Right you have to put in someone who is going to try to pull hard in that direction. Whatever people fear about him will be diluted, just like Lefties, Sanders and Warren.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:03 am to Tiguar
quote:
I don't like religion blending into govt, even if it's my religion
This seems shallow. How is that going to happen when he is one of 535 politicians in the US Congress?
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:07 am to Jake88
What kind of dumb frick logic is this?
He will represent my interests as an Alabamian and religion being a centerfold is obviously not my interest.
He's running for senate
He will represent my interests as an Alabamian and religion being a centerfold is obviously not my interest.
quote:
535 politicians
He's running for senate
This post was edited on 8/5/17 at 8:08 am
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:16 am to Tiguar
quote:
He's running for senate
Hmm, you do realize that the House is 435 and the Senate is 100? Therefore, when I say he's one of 535, I am accurate and clearly recognize he's running for Senate. Maybe you are uncertain of how the US Congress is structured.
quote:
He will represent my interests as an Alabamian and religion being a centerfold is obviously not my interest.
He will not get anything passed with regards to religion, therefore your concerns are shallow. That is my "dumbfrick" logic.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:21 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
:upchuck:
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:23 am to bamarep
quote:
I just wanna drop by to say
frick
Luther
Strange
He can't shoot for shite
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:34 am to Jake88
quote:I guess you could say it's dumb logic since:
He will not get anything passed with regards to religion, therefore your concerns are shallow. That is my "dumbfrick" logic.
1. He's a judge who has ignored judicial orders and ordered others too ignore them too.
2. He has a charity that has run over an 800,000 deficit over 8 years, with expenses exceeding revenue by 16%.
3. He's made a million dollars off the charity on that time.
4. They haven't filed taxes for that charity since 2014 because the accountant had been "sick."
In other words, he seems to posses a lot of the same traits as the Clintons, but he then uses his religious views to disguise them. That's almost more despicable.
In fact, it appears him and his wife have taken in more compensation for themselves, relative to contributions (about 20%), already leaving only 80% to give to all non-charitable other expenses plus the charitable activities. The Clinton Foundation somehow managed to give a smaller percentage of ALL non-charitable activities that Moore and his wife took in compensation. That's quite terrifying actually.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:47 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
1. He's a judge who has ignored judicial orders and ordered others too ignore them too
He's not running for the judiciary at this time, is he? Tell me how he gets any religious Bill trough a legislative body that has 534 other members? It would then get challenged in the courts.
Your other points are fair but do not apply to what I posted. I was commenting on the hyperventilating over his religious views.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 8:54 am to Jake88
quote:No. He's going to a position where even less honesty and integrity is expected or practiced.
He's not running for the judiciary at this time, is he?
quote:I never said he would. That's why I made a post about all of those other things.
Tell me how he gets any religious Bill trough a legislative body that has 534 other members?
quote:I get that. I was just saying why it would be dumb to support him other than his religious views, which I'm not even sure are that sincere anyways.
Your other points are fair but do not apply to what I posted. I was commenting on the hyperventilating over his religious views.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 9:27 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I heard Mo Brooks on talk radio saying he was against Trump till he general election because he was working for one of his opponents . Strange seem like he is backed by the people who are fighting against Trump in the Senate now .
Posted on 8/5/17 at 9:29 am to buckeye_vol
Everything he does is through the overwhelming tinge of religion.
Even if he doesn't pass a bill that outlaws fricking on Sunday, he will give us more of the same Puritan bullshite that led to other draconian laws.
He does not represent my interests and I won't vote for him. Don't get what's so complicated.
Even if he doesn't pass a bill that outlaws fricking on Sunday, he will give us more of the same Puritan bullshite that led to other draconian laws.
He does not represent my interests and I won't vote for him. Don't get what's so complicated.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 9:57 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
If ole Roy wins his first piece of legislation will be to put 2 giant marble slabs with the ten commandments on them right under the Senate lectern.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 10:01 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Well this is just sad.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 10:58 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 8/5/17 at 11:22 am to Aubie Spr96
But in all seriousness, frick Roy Moore. He can't die soon enough.
Posted on 8/5/17 at 11:43 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I dislike all three of the main candidates for this Senate seat. Roy Moore does whatever he can to gain attention. People love him for fighting to keep the Ten Commandments monument at the Alabama Judicial Building in Montgomery, but he isn't as admirable as people think.
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