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re: PB: Chime in if you support GOP's Cuckcare

Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:22 pm to
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

this moves the crosshairs from the DEMs to the GOP.


CHICKEN DINNER

quote:

this is not a step to repeal the ACA. it's just going to become it's own behemoth 


How is it that nobody understands this? The next dem congress will simply use this as a framework to reinstate Obamacare. It's a big government program put forth by the supposed "other team," and will only grow with time.
This post was edited on 6/22/17 at 8:26 pm
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
27353 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:25 pm to
Agreed. They should let Obamacare collapse.
Posted by Iosh
Bureau of Interstellar Immigration
Member since Dec 2012
18941 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

I think it sucks, but at the same time I realize the bill is the only means to the end.
The "end" in this case being... the GOP taking ownership of Obamacare?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425823 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:27 pm to
they're even going to pass this bill with the same "we are going to have to tweak it" excuse the DEMs used for like 5 years
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:27 pm to
quote:

this is going to sink the GOP. this bill has disaster (from all angles) written on it. AT BEST, it becomes ACA vol. 2 and then grows into its own insane bureaucracy. this is not a step towards reducing government in health care or a step to repealing the ACA. AT WORST, this is going to sink the GOP in 2018 moving onward and they lose their control of Congress



Posted by bonhoeffer45
Member since Jul 2016
4367 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

i honestly don't see how anybody likes this

like i said in the other thread, this moves the crosshairs from the DEMs to the GOP. they're taking all the political liability from the disaster that is the ACA away from the DEMs. now any and everything wrong with the ACHA moving forward till sink the GOP



They did this the moment they took up healthcare in congress. Frankly they took it up the moment Trump and the GOP won in November.

But if they do pass this, it will be hell for them. In many ways they made parts of the House bill worse. Which I really didn't think was possible.

quote:

this is not a step to repeal the ACA. it's just going to become it's own behemoth

how the GOP is going about passing the bill is terrible



I will say this, get ready for some insanely high premium jumps. If what I read is not being misinterpreted, they are planning to repeal the mandate everywhere but not the pre-existing condition clauses and other protections. That will be left up to the states.

What that is likely to do is one of two things. The first possibility is it will drive up premiums enormously. Because you won't have healthy people forced into the pools but insurers will not know how risky their pools are because they are still barred from prejudicing on pre-existing conditions. So many insurers will abandon individual markets - on exchange or off - and in other cases jack up rates to insulate themselves where they don't. Meaning everyone on the individual market will be squeezed enormously and price a ton people out of the market or just leave them without options. The other possibility is it will force even more states to abandon certain coverage provisions in order to stabilize what is absolutely going to be a very chaotic aftermath of the passage where insurers are threatening to abandon individual markets entirely.
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:31 pm to
Posted by nawlinsbrah
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
126 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:32 pm to
quote:

Agreed. They should let Obamacare collapse.


This is probably the best political strategy, however I think Trump feels like he needs to mitigate ACA enough to help launch tax reform. I'm not sure how they're tied in.

One thing is for damn sure. The full repeal and replace is a pipe dream as they're just not enough votes to do anything more than mitigate Obamacare.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425823 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:33 pm to
quote:

They did this the moment they took up healthcare in congress. F

nope

as long as ACA is the law, the DEMS have to 100% own that shite

0% GOP support does that

quote:

The first possibility is it will drive up premiums enormously.

if my rates go up i'm declaring (ideological) war on the GOP
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:33 pm to
quote:

Pass this bill with some amendments for Cruz and Lee and then start there, win some more seats in the midterms and then keep chipping away at it to keep perfecting it. It's what democrats would've done and they've made an art out of that.

ObamaCare will be repealed by a thousand cuts, not a single stab in the gut.


I concur.

I haven't looked into the details of the McConnell bill yet, but I've posted before about the reasons why I supported passing Ryan's AHCA as part of the larger 3-phase strategy.

I'll also add a few new points here:

#1. You can only do so much with a reconciliation process that doesn't allow significant budget changes.

#2. It would be a political disaster for the Republicans not to repeal the individual mandate and other parts of ObamaCare.

#3. I think people are exaggerating the political effects of the GOP owning a bad health care system after passing the bill. (They will own it no matter what from being the majority party.) The same people on the right will blame the left, and the same people on the left will blame the right. Nobody is expecting a miracle overhaul of the gigantic health care sector overnight.
This post was edited on 6/22/17 at 8:35 pm
Posted by DaGarun
Smashville
Member since Nov 2007
26191 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

It's what democrats would've done and they've made an art out of that

But its not what they did...odd comment
quote:

ObamaCare will be repealed by a thousand cuts, not a single stab in the gut.

I think you are fooling yourself if you think Obamacare is going to be repealed. It may change names, but its core provisions are already institutionalized (unfortunately)
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99799 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:37 pm to
Do I like it? No.

Would it be my bill? No.

But, don't let the perfect be the enemy of the less shitty.

90% of Ocare is still a change and sets the table for more change in the future.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
425823 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:38 pm to
that ain't gonna happen

and when it doesn't, y'all will claim it is some nefarious clandestine force

what's going to happen is this law is going to be unpopular as frick, they're going to address it by adding their own regs that make government bigger, and it's going to be a bigger behemoth than the ACA
Posted by bonhoeffer45
Member since Jul 2016
4367 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

Since you say repeal is so easy where would the 60 votes come from?




They could of striped all subsides from this bill, set the individual mandate to 0, stripped all funds for medicaid expansion and all cost sharing programs. Could of de-funded the ACA website.

They could of basically rolled back and collapsed the marketplaces pretty easily if they both wanted to and had the votes to do that. They don't and never will have the votes for that. Because it was always just a talking point amongst a grab bag of talking points that they littered the right with so you all could each have your own "pick-your-own-adventure" belief of what the GOP was really trying to do. Because the reality is that such a bill would be cataclysmic to the healthcare market.
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

But its not what they did...odd comment


I think he means in the larger sense that the Democrats passed something with full knowledge that nobody in their base would be satisfied with it as is. It was meant to be a transition to necessary changes that would come later.

But yeah, the ACA was certainly more of a big, instantaneous impact type of bill. The ratchet effect of Progressive socialism makes it always more difficult to travel backwards than forwards.

quote:

I think you are fooling yourself if you think Obamacare is going to be repealed.


I think allowing states to do almost complete opt-outs of ObamaCare provisions is a pretty big fricking deal.
Posted by bonhoeffer45
Member since Jul 2016
4367 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:45 pm to
quote:

nope

as long as ACA is the law, the DEMS have to 100% own that shite

0% GOP support does that



Sorry, but no.

You don't get to win an election after promising to improve something for 6 years and then fail to do so and think the country will blame the party not in power. There might be a scenario where they ignore it and never took it up and they could avoid it becoming a major election issue over some other things, but no way they would be able to shift blame. They might be able to overcome that because, well, Democrats are incompetent and the GOP has done a masterful job with gerrymandering.

But the Democrats already proved that one in 2010. When they tried to claim it was Republicans that prevented them from making a better bill. The one they wanted. That they just needed more seats to make it better.

quote:

if my rates go up i'm declaring (ideological) war on the GOP




Well unless you are young, wealthy, and don't mind narrower networks, lower coverages and higher deductibles, you will probably be ok.
This post was edited on 6/22/17 at 8:47 pm
Posted by Topisawtiger
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2012
3512 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:46 pm to
Until they include being able to buy insurance across state lines, it will be crap to me.
Posted by asurob1
On the edge of the galaxy
Member since May 2009
26971 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:47 pm to
It looks like a truck wreck to me, but it also appears to be just the next phase of Nationalized Healthcare system.

Soon
Posted by Doc Fenton
New York, NY
Member since Feb 2007
52698 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:48 pm to
That's Phase 3 stuff. I don't think they can put that in through the Senate reconciliation procedure.
Posted by bonhoeffer45
Member since Jul 2016
4367 posts
Posted on 6/22/17 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

Until they include being able to buy insurance across state lines, it will be crap to me.




Not sure what people think this is going to do?

Georgia, Kentucky, and Maine have passed laws allowing outside insurers to sell in their states under whatever regulations they operate under in their home state, not a single insurer has taken them up in any state.
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