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bonhoeffer45
| Favorite team: | LSU |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
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| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 4367 |
| Registered on: | 7/25/2016 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 8:38 pm to Centinel
quote:
Which mean what in an electoral system?
Mobilization and turnout is currently on the side of Democrats right now. That can always change.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 8:36 pm to roadGator
quote:
I would be shocked if a boring white guy is out on the trail talking about policy instead of race on the trail for the Dems in 2020. Would be nice to see. Not the white part but the policy part leaving the identity stuff by the wayside.
It should be pointed out all politics involves identity politics, including Trump's.
Trump plays identity politics everyday. "Are you the type of person that defends kneeling for the National Anthem?" Putting on a hat declaring he is for the coal miners and Bannon defining outsiders the anti-globalists. Even the anti-PC movement is a component of that int he way its played by conservatives: we are the group that thinks it should be accepted by social norms to call Haitians AID's infested hut dwellers that live in a shithole country. Being outraged by that is PC culture threatening our freedom of speech.
What about that isn't identity politics? It's defining a group by how you are different from and supposedly superior to the other people. Collecting a bunch of those norms and anchors to build a group identity.
Right-wing talk radio has built a cottage industry on identity politics. Liberals are all lazy welfare collecting troop hating un-american radical socialists. Meanwhile, conservatives are patriotic, Christian, free market loving, god-fearing patriots that's group identity is positively reinforced to align with the Republican agenda. :usa: :usa:
If your real point is that you hope they put up a candidate that ignores culture war issues like transgender bathroom laws and #METOO mud slinging, I hope its not some anchoring theme either that leaves policy issues by the wayside, same goes for the culture wars the other side plays. But it is all but guaranteed it will play some role in some capacity because that is politics.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 8:03 pm to Centinel
quote:
Are these the same polls that said Trump will never win the primary?
No, that is the collective average of the results from ACTUAL elections.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:59 pm to roadGator
quote:
We are not in a good place politically. If they counter with someone closer to full SJW than "classical liberal"
What is a "classical liberal" in your mind?
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:57 pm to Lsuchs
quote:
Do republicans need D votes to become R votes? Because it seemed like your point was the tax cuts won’t get them any.
That was among the implication by a few people.
quote:
The right needs to mobilize, just like the left does. I don’t think money in more people’s pockets helps the left any though.
The right does need to mobilize, and 2018 isn't looking good for them on that front. 2020? Harder to say, but Trump won't have the benefit of his make-your-own-adventure blank slate advantage next go round.
He will have the incumbency benefit and potentially a good economy, but will have an actual record he will be anchored to and forced to defend, issue like healthcare, Net Neutrality, marijuana prosecution, effectiveness in office, charges of rampant cronyism, Paris Accords, and not having the unifying hatred of Hillary to bind often at conflict facets of the party. Will he foster the same enthusiasm? Will his cult of personality defy all of that? Hard to say.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:38 pm to Lsuchs
quote:
I said “do I have to vote Democrat now because Im not against something they’ve done?” As in if I received money due to stimulus doesn’t mean I’ll vote D.
You said “that’s my point,” as in Democrats won’t vote republican just because they got some extra cash.
I said republicans just won 30 states, they don’t need people who voted D to switch to R. You need people who voted R to go back D
Nah, mobilization is the name of the game in hyper-partisan era's. Trump implicitly understood that on the campaign and Hillary and the Democrats didn't or couldn't match the same enthusiasm.
You always have a much better shot of trying to convince ten people who stayed home in an election to get out and vote than to try and change the mind of ten established supporters of the other guy/girl
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:35 pm to NIH
quote:
Yeah, you don't have a clue. The only people who are dumb enough to believe the bill only helps the wealthy either don't pay taxes or would never vote R anyway. The fact that you think government is entitled to more and more of hard earned money disgusts normal people
I really worry about some of you. Nowhere did I state the bill only affects the wealthy, by any reading it clearly is much more broader in scope than that, but people perceive it to overwhelmingly benefit the wealthy. And in terms of total cost, yeah, the wealthy get the biggest slice of pie, but they aren't the only ones getting a piece. That is where there remains a disconnect between public perception and reality. However, I will point out, perception and reality in politics often do not ever come fully into alignment. People to this day still spout complete nonsense about the ACA that was fed to them in 2009 and 2010. So don't be so sure that voters are going to suddenly do what voters have often shown they aren't capable of doing and attain a perfect understanding of the bill with regards to their perceived self-interest.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:29 pm to Lsuchs
quote:
If you assume the republicans need more votes. Didn’t they just win 30+ states.
You need more votes
I think you are lost or just floundering, what does this have to do with anything we were just discussing?
The tax bill is unpopular, there is no guarantee that once money hits pockets it will suddenly become much more popular. In fact, if you look at a previous tax cut like the stimulus, it declined in popularity amongst the Republicans as time went on and the money showed up in pockets, and slightly dropped with Democrats as well. You even said it yourself, you weren't going to just vote another party because they did one thing you didn't hate.
And the name of the game in hyper-partisan era's is mobilization, and right now Democrats have been pretty damn energized since the election. Might fall off by the end of the year, but not likely.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:22 pm to Lsuchs
quote:
Do I have to vote Democrat if if I’m not against one thing I’ve done?
You said tax bill is unpopular. I say it won’t be once people feel it’s affect, some already are
The stimulus bill remained unpopular with Republicans even after the tax cuts got into their pockets.
quote:
Do I have to vote Democrat if if I’m not against one thing I’ve done?
You might not see it, but this is the point I'm trying to make to you.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:13 pm to Lsuchs
quote:
Once money hits pockets it will be
Did that make you vote Democratic in 2010?
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:12 pm to bhtigerfan
quote:
More bullshite.
The Republicans won all 6 special elections for the House of Representatives
Yeah, you might be allergic to facts, but that won't change them:
LINK
LINK
LINK
LINK
Democrats are over-performing by roughly 14% in special elections at the federal and state level in the same races in 2016. Even flipping seats in places like Oklahoma. A lot can change in almost a year, but the trends so far are not looking good for 2018. 2020 is another story.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:03 pm to Dead End
quote:
Working Americans don't like the idea of keeping more of the money they earned?
It seems like the majority of Americans don't like expensive tax bills that predominately benefit the wealthy. At least thats what the polls seem to say(cue "all polls are fake except Rasmussen polls or the ones that say what we want them to say").
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 7:02 pm to gthog61
quote:
The media cannot cover the good news up for 3 more years
2020 is a long way away TBH. The better question would of been 2018.
2020 is largely going to come down to the platforms that win favor in the Democratic primary. And that is anyones guess, but given recent history, those areas I said are likely going to be ground covered. Lower elections will play into that but branch off in there own ways.
And just because you spend your time in an echo chamber that tells you things like Wal Mart raising the minimum wage while leaving out that that wage raises were an ongoing thing for years now and they also played off 5,000 people, doesn't mean the rest of the country does.
People perceive the bill is a bill that overwhelmingly benefits the wealthy, that perception is unlikely to change. And its not likely to notably shift a person's tribal allegiance 3 year from now either. Something tells me you didn't vote for Obama in 2012 because he passed 300 billion in tax cuts in the the stimulus? Now the health of the economy? That could definitely be a winning platform for Trump, assuming we don't hit a bump like we did under Bush twice.
re: Dems, what policies do you campaign on for 2020?
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 6:52 pm to texag7
quote:
Not identity politics but real policies.
Trump tax cuts are going to give people more money. Economy is looking better by the day. Consumer confidence is up and American jobs are being created.
What policies do you pimp to combat Trump?
The "he's a racist, bigot, sexual assaulter" scream did not work despite having every advantage on your side.
What do you do? Your party is a national joke at the moment.
The tax bill is still not very popular FYI.
LINK
And the easy one is healthcare. It was the number one issue cited by voters in the recent Virginia election and it remains the biggest failure of the administration so far policy wise. I expect it will play a fairly heavy role in 2018. As does a referendum on Trump. Which despite what you are saying is not how the collective outcomes of the special elections have played out. Which the trends are not pretty for Republicans right now.
But elections are not monolithic, candidates in different areas will emphasis different things. I would expect Democratic candidates fighting for Republican seats in California for instance to cite the tax bill, health insurance, environmental policy, sexual harassment issues, Trump, Marijuana legalization, a check on Trump cronyism, and Net Neutrality. A person in a safe Democratic seat in Maryland may run on criminal justice reform and Single-Payer.
re: Regardless of your politics...
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 6:06 pm to Centinel
quote:
have to do with this
When you are framing that America's priorities and obligations lie in the political agenda of the president and how he defines it. Defining anyone who does not adhere to advancing and protecting that agenda and it's leader as scum.
Those are not the principles and ideals this country was founded upon. Trumpkins like him try and co-opt the language of patriots to dress up ideas and behavior that are actually the antithesis to the democratic-republic values this country is meant to stand and strive for.
This was not a confidential national security meeting, this was a closed door bi-partisan meeting with members of either party. There is no moral crime that is committed if people in the room felt the voting public should be made aware of certain aspects of the meeting. If there is a flaw in the system it is not that we have too much transparency, its that there is too little of it.
re: NBC: Trump referred to Haiti and African countries as ‘****hole’ nations
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:50 pm to L.A.
re: NBC: Trump referred to Haiti and African countries as ‘****hole’ nations
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:44 pm to L.A.
quote:
He shouldn't have said that.
I have to think, however, that if Obama or Hillary had said that in a similar meeting the media would not have reported it. The MSM's mission is to hurt Trump.
If Obama had made a derogatory comment about, IDK, Israel and unyielding Evangelical support for their conservative government's policies, in a closed door meeting that involved Republicans and Republican staffers, you don't think that story ends up on Fox News within the day? :rotflmao:
The station that made a thing out of Grey Poupon?
re: Regardless of your politics...
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:38 pm to Sid in Lakeshore
quote:
Screw you and the scum who cannot put America first and feel the need to tattle about what was said behind closed doors.
America was not founded on the idea of unyielding allegiance and cooperation toward the political agenda and public image of the president.
I think you took a wrong turn and confused us with North Korea.
re: NBC: Trump referred to Haiti and African countries as ‘****hole’ nations
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:29 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:
Why would Norweigians want to come here? Norway is awesome. I know some Norwegians who work for Amazon and they are planning on moving back as soon as their girls are of school age.
If you listen to conservatives it's because it is being over-run by Muslims and everyone is dying from government funded college education and universal healthcare.
re: NBC: Trump referred to Haiti and African countries as ‘****hole’ nations
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:13 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Tell us what Trump said. Direct quotes please.
All we have is the story to go on, there is no evidence of him saying or intending to mean the things you are projecting onto him.
He wants an immigration deal, Norwegians are cool, Haitians and Africans aren't, those upset him, he doesn't think they should be included in any protections or deal. He says nothing about education, only that his perception of an entire continent and Haiti is of a shithole and seemingly that implies every person from there is innately and irreparably tainted in Trump's eyes......But not Norwegians, something about them is pure enough in Trump's eyes to get a blanket pardon.
re: NBC: Trump referred to Haiti and African countries as ‘****hole’ nations
Posted by bonhoeffer45 on 1/11/18 at 5:04 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
For fux sakes this is like a month old news. It was already refuted as fake news.
Nah, your confusing this story with the story a few months ago when Trump reportedly said Haitians and Nigerians all have AID's and live in huts.
I understand though, he says a lot of dumb shite for a genius, so sometimes events morph into one another.
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