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re: UF Series Takeaways
Posted on 3/27/17 at 6:52 pm to ell_13
Posted on 3/27/17 at 6:52 pm to ell_13
quote:Why would it be different for multiple run innings vs a single run inning if the metric is just scoring one run?
I need to find the article where the mlb stats show that that is only true for multiple run innings. When playing for 1 run, a bunt in that situation is ideal.
2
Posted on 3/27/17 at 7:26 pm to LSURussian
More runs are generated over the course of a game if you never bunt. In other words while you are more likely to score with a bunt, giving up the out isn't worth it because it lessens the chance of a multi run inning, which, in the end, means more games won. But at the end of the game, when only one run is needed a bunt is the statistically better play that eventually leads to a tie/win.
Posted on 3/27/17 at 7:28 pm to LSURussian
It's probability based. So, while your chances of scoring one go up, your chances of scoring more than one go down because of the additional out you now have.
These probability tables are built on the data of several years worth of mlb games. The numbers may be different for college, but probably not enough to worry about.
These probability tables are built on the data of several years worth of mlb games. The numbers may be different for college, but probably not enough to worry about.
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