re: My Interesting prediction where Lf7 will go in the draft

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Why can't he go top 5?

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1) RB is not that important a position in drafting. Career is too short- if you get a franchise QB the same age, you can have 2-3 RBs with solid careers over the same timeframe. Linemen don't last quite as long as QBs, but still outlast the running backs.

2) RB is too dependent on the line; a good back with a great line will be better than a great back with a mediocre line... and will last longer too.

Both those facts make RB a complementary position.

Also, regarding Fournette specifically:
1) the Bama issue. He's going to face better defenses in the NFL, he needs to show he's willing to get the dirty yards instead of lingering back looking for holes that aren't there.

2) injury issue. He's been hurt this season. Sure, it could happen to anyone... but he also blasts into people instead of making moves, once he does commit. Those big impacts make him a bit of a risk to get nicked up more often, and might shorten his career.