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Message
Diagnose Bryce Harper?
Posted on 8/5/16 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 8/5/16 at 12:45 pm
He was sensational last year and amazing for about the first 1.5 months and since then he has fallen off a cliff. His OPS is still good cause of the walks but everything else has been down. Did the Cubs intentional walks mess with him that much or is it a nagging injury/yips?
Posted on 8/5/16 at 12:53 pm to FitnessDude
It's baseball. He's still a good player, but people have cold streaks in this sport.
Posted on 8/5/16 at 12:59 pm to FitnessDude
probably just him pressing too much at the plate. it's hard to top the year he lad last year and he's probably just overdoing himself trying to match or exceed what he did last year. I will say though, if he starts to click again in September the Nats might become the odd-on favorite to win it all
Posted on 8/5/16 at 1:06 pm to FitnessDude
Better yet, explain Daniel Murphy.
Posted on 8/5/16 at 1:13 pm to FitnessDude
I don't pretend to know as much about hitting as he does....but he is pulling off the ball extremely bad this season. He's constantly off balance
Posted on 8/5/16 at 1:15 pm to FitnessDude
quote:
Diagnose Bryce Harper
AIDS
Posted on 8/5/16 at 1:42 pm to FitnessDude
quote:
amazing for about the first 1.5 months
It was really just a few weeks. He was hitting .323/.405/.855 (1.260) through April 24. Then went 2-8 against the Phillies, 0-11 against the Cardinals, and 3-13 against the Royals, before the Cubs decided not to pitch to him.
From that Phillies series through the end of May, he hit .189/.420/.326 (.747). Through yesterday, he hit .215/.372/.354 (.726).
A lot of it probably is mental. He's expecting to get nothing to hit, so tries to find that one pitch and destroy it. He's hitting fewer line drives and more fly balls.
But he's actually seeing more strikes this year than last, but swinging at many fewer, and not just marginal strikes. So, he's possibly being too selective.
One thing that really jumps out on his heat maps is that he did A LOT of damage last year on pitches up in the zone, but pitchers are owning him there this year, and he's not swinging at those pitches nearly as often.
It looks like a fascinating case study and I wish I had more time right now to digest it. Here are links to his 2015 and 2016 heat maps:
2015
2016
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:12 pm to FitnessDude
quote:
FitnessDudeinMyMouth
TD sign up didn't allow for all the characters, huh?
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:36 pm to FitnessDude
seems to be antsy at the plate. Not expecting to get much to hit. Which in reality shouldn't be the case. Murphy and Ramos are having great years, Werth and Rendon have played much better of late, Trea Turner is going to help that team etc...so in a way it's unbelievable that he has kinda struggled.
Murphy Ramos Werth and Rendon all have more hits than Bryce, not that it means much except you can deduce that they all see more pitches to hit than Bryce. shite they are 20 games over 500 kinda flying under the radar with him "struggling"
Murphy Ramos Werth and Rendon all have more hits than Bryce, not that it means much except you can deduce that they all see more pitches to hit than Bryce. shite they are 20 games over 500 kinda flying under the radar with him "struggling"
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:37 pm to FitnessDude
#1 He's 23. making $5 mill this year.
He has scored 58 runs with 20 HR, with 56 RBI and 15 stolen bases with a .378 OBP.
Jayson Werth is making $21 mill this year and has scored 55 runs with 13 HR and 46 RBI. His OBP is .343.... and 4 stolen bases
???
He has scored 58 runs with 20 HR, with 56 RBI and 15 stolen bases with a .378 OBP.
Jayson Werth is making $21 mill this year and has scored 55 runs with 13 HR and 46 RBI. His OBP is .343.... and 4 stolen bases
???
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:41 pm to danfraz
This was a really interesting article on Fangraphs yesterday. Basically, it says Harper isn't hitting the ball quite as hard this year, but even moreso he has been unlucky. His BAPIP is like .100 less than last year. Article also talks about how Harper's production last year was an extreme outlier compared to his batted ball velocity. So while Harper is great, 2015 Bryce may have been a bit flukish.
LINK
LINK
This post was edited on 8/5/16 at 2:43 pm
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:44 pm to Hester Carries
quote:
Better yet, explain Daniel Murphy.
Dude has turned into Wade fricking Boggs is what's happened to Daniel Murphy.
A straight up monster, and it's weird as hell. How many players break out like this in their 7th/8th year in the bigs?
Going back to last August he's been unstoppable. A total steal this offseason at 3/36 or whatever it was.
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:45 pm to Hester Carries
quote:I don't think some things can be explained.
Better yet, explain Daniel Murphy.
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:45 pm to The Seaward
quote:
it says Harper isn't hitting the ball quite as hard this year, but even moreso he has been unlucky.
hmmm interesting
quote:
Harper's production last year was an extreme outlier compared to his batted ball velocity. So while Harper is great, 2015 Bryce may have been a bit flukish.
To me that's one of the most interesting things to follow about him long term. and the same with Trout. You would normally expect their "peak" seasons in that 27-31 yr old range but maybe with these two it came earlier. Or maybe we have much to look forward to
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:49 pm to The Sad Banana
Murphy, like Matt Carpenter, seems to have made a conscious change to his swing. Both have put the ball in the air and pulled the ball alot more over the past two years. It seems to be a good idea, since both are among the best hitters in baseball now.
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:53 pm to The Seaward
quote:
Both have put the ball in the air and pulled the ball alot more over the past two years. It seems to be a good idea, since both are among the best hitters in baseball now.
Murphy was a underrated "slash/line drive" kind of hitter. Was solid, nothing spectacular.
The Mets hitting coach, former yankee coach, cant remember his name sorry but he basically moved him 6 inches closer to the plate and attempted to hit for power. His confidence boomed last year and now he is 100% a professional hitter.
But he's always been a good hitter, contact for sure but always solid
Posted on 8/5/16 at 2:56 pm to danfraz
quote:
Trea Turner is going to help that team etc
Even if all he does is get Ben Revere out of the top of the order. Ben Revere and his .260(!) OBP have started 55 games at leadoff (and 5 at 2). Replacing Michael Taylor and his .274 OBP (30 starts at leadoff, 8 at 2). But they sure do look like leadoff hitters, right Dusty!?
Posted on 8/5/16 at 3:01 pm to Speedy G
What do you mean, look like leadoff hitters?
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