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Honda (HMC) - good buy?
Posted on 7/2/16 at 10:06 am
Posted on 7/2/16 at 10:06 am
HMC
Price: $25.12 (2.45% off 52 week low, 30.20% off 52 week high)
Over the last month: -$2.16 (7.92%)
Over the last year: -$7.53 (23.06%)
P/E: 13.43
PEG: 0.61
EPS: $1.87
Projected EPS for next year: $2.88
https://www.bizjournals.com/losangeles/news/2016/07/01/toyota-u-s-sales-down-in-june-honda-posts-increase.html?ana=yahoo
So sales are good, so why is the stock slumping? Well...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/313k-honda-vehicles-declared-unsafe-121212271.html
If I had the free cash I'd be buying this at $25.12 and selling around $29 (~15% return). The average analyst target price is $30.86.
Are you buying/selling/holding HMC at $25.12?
Price: $25.12 (2.45% off 52 week low, 30.20% off 52 week high)
Over the last month: -$2.16 (7.92%)
Over the last year: -$7.53 (23.06%)
P/E: 13.43
PEG: 0.61
EPS: $1.87
Projected EPS for next year: $2.88
quote:
Toyota’s U.S. sales fell 5.6 percent in June from a year ago despite an extra selling day, while Honda had a 3.2 percent increase in sales for the month...
[Honda] also reached a new June record for light trucks, which gained 2.2 percent on sales of 68,780.
Honda division trucks also set a new June record, jumping 6.6 percent on sales of 61,469 vehicles, while sales of Honda cars rose 7.7 percent to 65,894 units. Acura division sales jumped 26.9 percent to 11,352 units.
For the year to date, sales of Honda and Acura vehicles are up 5.2 percent from the year-earlier period.
On the truck side, sales of CR-V reached a new all-time June record, while Pilot and Odyssey each made notable gains for the month. The all-new 2017 Ridgeline got off to a strong start in its first weeks on the market, notching 2,472 sales after just over one week on the market.
"With the all new Ridgeline pickup and the redesigned Accord Hybrid back in the lineup, we're continuing to expand and strengthen our portfolio as we look toward a third straight year of record results," said Jeff Conrad, senior vice president and general manager of the Honda Division.
https://www.bizjournals.com/losangeles/news/2016/07/01/toyota-u-s-sales-down-in-june-honda-posts-increase.html?ana=yahoo
So sales are good, so why is the stock slumping? Well...
quote:
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has declared nearly 313,000 Honda Motor Co., Ltd. HMC vehicles to be risky to drive due to unrepaired defective Takata airbags. While the company has notified the owners of the impending recall several times, these Honda and Acura vehicles have not been brought in for repairs.
However, new tests revealed that the airbag inflators of some Honda and Acura vehicles manufactured over the period 2001-2003 have up to 50% chance of exploding while inflating. When these inflators explode, they send metal fragments shooting into the car that may injure or kill occupants. Hence, the NHTSA has advised owners to stop driving these vehicles and bring them in for repairs as soon as possible.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/313k-honda-vehicles-declared-unsafe-121212271.html
If I had the free cash I'd be buying this at $25.12 and selling around $29 (~15% return). The average analyst target price is $30.86.
Are you buying/selling/holding HMC at $25.12?
Posted on 7/3/16 at 8:18 am to Jon Ham
I have been wondering this myself this past week - possibly because I bought a Honda myself last month and when I talked to my salesman a few weeks later he said it was a killer May and early June for the dealership.
I think it's undervalued but want to hear other's opinions as well.
I think it's undervalued but want to hear other's opinions as well.
Posted on 7/12/16 at 12:02 pm to Jon Ham
Although I'm late in mentioning it, if you're interested in auto stocks, FUJHY (Fuji Heavy/Subaru) is one to keep on a watchlist. Toyota bought GM's stake several years ago and they seem to be helping Subaru with some of the heavy lifting. Sales, earnings, quality, resale value, consumer satisfaction... Subaru is currently ticking all the boxes.
I've owned it a couple of times, but have always gotten stopped out because I use trailing stops. IMO, in the mid 60's, it's a good buy. It's in the low 70's again now though. It doesn't pay a dividend, but I like it as a relative long term hold if you're looking for an auto stock.
I've owned it a couple of times, but have always gotten stopped out because I use trailing stops. IMO, in the mid 60's, it's a good buy. It's in the low 70's again now though. It doesn't pay a dividend, but I like it as a relative long term hold if you're looking for an auto stock.
Posted on 8/8/16 at 8:41 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If I had the free cash I'd be buying this at $25.12 and selling around $29 (~15% return).
Passed $29 this morning and is currently sitting at $29.33.
This post was edited on 8/8/16 at 8:42 am
Posted on 8/8/16 at 10:27 am to Jon Ham
I need to start following your posts....
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