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Oil bottom

Posted on 10/1/15 at 6:34 am
Posted by Spec1
Lost but making good time
Member since Jan 2015
1983 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 6:34 am
Do you think we have found the bottom?

Just curious because my company keeps cutting and sooner or later my number will get called if this continues.

What does everyone think?
Posted by KG6
Member since Aug 2009
10920 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 7:15 am to
Oh, I'm hoping this is pretty much the bottom. I think the outlook now is how long do we stay in this bottom. By the end of Q4, I think most companies will have their workforce reductions in place to get through 2016 if oil stays at this current price. But if it goes lower, it's going to be a ghost town in O&G offices by mid 2016. I've not been worried, but it's to the point that there are no more low hanging fruit. Valuable people are now on the chopping block. I've already seen a few go.
Posted by BROffshoreTigerFan
Edmond, OK
Member since Oct 2007
10004 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 9:24 am to
We run pretty lean so we haven't had any layoffs. But, we have cut a lot of contractors and laid down a lot of rigs. With Chesapeake cutting almost 700 people locally two days ago, there isn't much place to turn in OKC.

I'm pretty comfortable because of the fact that we run lean and because of the work that I do, but I'm still a bit scared. Good luck out there.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37308 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 10:02 am to
What's going on with gasoline? I thought as summer faded into fall and less expensive blends were produced, the gasoline prices would slide further. But at least in my area they have jumped 15-20 cents since Monday. What gives?
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97808 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 11:25 am to
I'm hoping the Russians bomb the Saudis when they are done with Syria
Posted by Omada
Member since Jun 2015
695 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 11:26 am to
quote:

Do you think we have found the bottom?
Maybe, but my gut says no. If the Iran deal is cancelled, I could see it back in the $50's. Otherwise, we'll see. If prices stay down long enough, I expect major political turmoil in some of the OPEC countries. Venezuela, in particular.
Posted by wfallstiger
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
11712 posts
Posted on 10/1/15 at 2:50 pm to
Yes, I believe crude has found bottom, for the good news.

The bad news, don't believe we'll see above $60.00 to $65.00, sustained, for a long time...

Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
66763 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:28 pm to
I think we hit bottom around Jan-feb but we won't get far off the bottom for a while.
Posted by BamaScoop
Panama City Beach, Florida
Member since May 2007
53960 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 2:19 pm to
Probably around 20 dollars a barrel.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54754 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 4:20 pm to
There will be blood in the streets over the next few months....lots of E&P job cuts looming.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 11:09 pm to
quote:

Do you think we have found the bottom?

Just curious because my company keeps cutting and sooner or later my number will get called if this continues.

What does everyone think?



You are asking the wrong question IMHO, if prices linger in the 40's for an extended period of time the effect is just the same as no bottom.

The layoffs are just getting started in the US and any other place with high E&P cost. The NOC's are going to rule the market for the next few years due to a lower cost basis.

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