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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread

Posted on 8/29/15 at 9:58 am to
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5701 posts
Posted on 8/29/15 at 9:58 am to
Good deal.

I will likely starting a new separate thread Sunday evening or Monday morning to separate it from this one, this one is a good one for discussion and throwing out suggestions and the other will be a good way to monitor who is hot and what they like without having to dig too much. Should be good for guys just lurking for some bets.
I'll keep wins and losses, +/- units, and try to do a Last three weeks record as well. Will probably need a little help but I don't see that being an issue with the participation we get here.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4202 posts
Posted on 8/29/15 at 10:02 am to
Let me know if you need any help
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
24528 posts
Posted on 8/29/15 at 3:55 pm to
Did anybody play this Montana-NDSU game?
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32025 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:36 am to
it doesnt matter which book you use for the lines. as long as everyone is playing the same bood. Its fair no matter what
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5701 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:43 am to
quote:

it doesnt matter which book you use for the lines. as long as everyone is playing the same bood. Its fair no matter what


I agree it's fair... Just know that we have some that are always placing bets on Monday Tuesday trying to get ahead of any movement.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16835 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:52 am to
We have to have the same book, if not, lines could be off by a hook.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5701 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 10:55 am to
I think he meant it doesn't matter what book we use, as long as we are all using the same one. That's how I interpreted it, but I've been wrong before.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32025 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 4:22 pm to
yes, same book. Whoever is over it post the lines on
monday or tuesday, and whatever lines are posted are the ones we live by. No matter if they change during the week or not
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3321 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

The most popular:

5dimes
bovada
betonline
topbet




You can scratch betonline.ag off the list. Just tried to access the cashier and I have been restricted most likely due to US gov. Every fricking year they do this shite right before the season starts. On to the next one.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 6:46 pm to
UNC came off key number today. Line down to 2.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 7:51 pm to
UCF -16.5
Oklahoma St -23.5
Utah -5.5
Michigan St -19
Florida Atlantic +7
Wisconsin +10
Mississippi St -23.5
Ohio St -11
Nebraska -6
Kent St +14.5

Just copied my picks from the contest post. Rolling with these this week.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5701 posts
Posted on 8/30/15 at 9:32 pm to
well it looks like lsualum beat me to it for the contest...no need in two separate ones. 10 games is probably a bit much for some posters but I typically bet in volume. This works for me, I can spend more time on my capping and less on keeping up with the contest.
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32025 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:03 am to
ChemE what are you looking at this week?
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22966 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 8:56 am to
does anyone know of a site that has a single page line sheet that I can print each week? I typically make my own, but I'm not sure I'll have time this season. Looking for something with blank spaces so I can fill in the lines from my book rather than having the "live lines" from whatever site I try to print from.
Posted by HarrisLetsRide
Member since Jan 2015
1481 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 9:30 am to
Can y'all make a separate thread for your little contest so we can actually get back to the actual discussion of the games??
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32025 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 9:31 am to
there is a thread for contest
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16934 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 10:26 am to
0-0

only 2 plays so far
Lou+10.5
Under Bama/Wis 52
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:00 am to
quote:

Oklahoma St -23.5


Central Michigan +23.5 is my play of the week

I ran 1000 simulations of the game and Central Michigan covered 86.4% of the time against a +23 spread, now its at +23.5

This post was edited on 8/31/15 at 11:01 am
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74442 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:10 am to
What does your sheet say about W. Michigan gettin 18 vs Sparty?
Posted by accnodefense
Trump Fan
Member since Dec 2010
6279 posts
Posted on 8/31/15 at 11:17 am to
quote:

What does your sheet say about W. Michigan gettin 18 vs Sparty?


Covered 80.3% of the time against a +18.5 spread

My computer is at home so I can't run a new simulation against an +18 spread until later but if I had to guess it would drop to the 75-77% range

Not near as confident in a WMU cover as a CMU cover

I wouldn't take these simulations as total gospel, I guarantee you out of the 9 games my simulator has a team covering 66%+ of the time there will be 3-5 that don't cover, but I think people are under estimating Western Michigan

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