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re: Official Week 5 NFL Bet Thread
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:59 am to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:59 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
My betting philosophy has little to do with individual players. The differential between the Vikings QBs is small, IMO.
Ponder is AWFUL lol
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 9:00 am
4
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:23 am to LSUcdro
GB beat Chicago by 21 last week, but that amount is a bit deceiving.
GB's run D is terrible, and Minny's run game could be as good or better than Chicago's.
And I think Minny's defense is somewhat underrated.
GB's run D is terrible, and Minny's run game could be as good or better than Chicago's.
And I think Minny's defense is somewhat underrated.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:49 am to LSUcdro
quote:
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
Peyton Manning is worth serious points as far as Vegas is concerned.
Going from Bridgewater to Ponder...the line shouldn't change as they are probably worth the same amount of points to Vegas.
Here is a QB Vegas point worth article from last year:
LINK
quote:
Vegas Consensus: Quarterback Per-Game Value
Peyton Manning: 7 points
Tom Brady: 6.5 points
Aaron Rodgers: 6 points
Drew Brees: 6 points
Matt Ryan: 5.5 points
Colin Kaepernick: 5 points
Ben Roethlisberger: 5 points
Eli Manning: 4.5 points
Joe Flacco: 4 points
Andy Dalton: 4 points
Philip Rivers: 4 points
Robert Griffin III: 3.5 points
Jay Cutler: 3.5 points
Matt Stafford: 3.5 points
Russell Wilson: 3 points
Andrew Luck: 3 points
Tony Romo: 3 points
Sam Bradford: 3 points
Matt Schaub: 2.5 points
Other than the top tier QB's, player injuries shouldn't have any drastic or major effects on how you bet, because they don't matter.
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 9:51 am
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:08 am to LSUcdro
quote:
Ponder is AWFUL lol
I agree with this - he is a downgrade from Bridgwater, maybe even worth a point or two.
Minnesota is an a weird spot here - they are coming off a very short week (played the late afternoon game last Sunday), against a team and QB that should be coming in with lot of confidence.
Minnesota's defense was disappointing last week vs a banged up ATL offense. I suspect Lacy has a breakout game tonight and the GB OL starts to work out it's issues.
I'll be on GB if Bridgewater is out.
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:55 am to LSUcdro
quote:
So you're saying that if Peyton Manning out, you would still have the same confidence in the Broncos?
That's obviously what I'm saying...
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 12:45 pm
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