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Saints at Cleveland early line // Saints at Falcons prop bets
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:50 am
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:50 am
All data presented herein is for entertainment purposes only. Wagering on sports is a crime in Louisiana and most of the United States. My best value plays are followed by an asterisk.
Saints (-6) at Cleveland.
LeBron James will be honorary captain is the rumor.
Will any NFL team go 16-0?
Yes: +4000 (if you bet $100 you would win $4000 for a return of $4100)
NFL MVP
Drew Brees +800 (if you bet $100 you would win $800 for a return of $900)
Saints at Falcons Props
Margin of Victory:
Saints Win by 22 or more +500
Saints Win by 1 to 3 points +600
Saints Win by 4 to 6 points +900
Saints Win by 7-10 points +600
Saints Win by 11-13 points +1450*
Falcons Win by 22 or more +1000
Player to Score first TD:
J. Graham +500
J. Jones +700
S. Jackson +800
R. White +850
M. Colston +900
P. Thomas +1000
M. Ingram +1200*
B. Cooks +1300
K. Robinson +1900*
J. Rodgers +2000*
B. Watson +2200*
D. Hester +4000
M. Ryan +4500*
D. Brees +5000*
N. Toon +6000
No Touchdown +15000
Longest TD of Game:
Over 50.5 Yards -115
Under 50.5 Yards - 115
Saints at Falcons - Team Points
Saints over 28 -110
Saints under 28 -120
Falcons over 25 -115
Falcons under 25 -115*
First Score of Game wil be:
Touchdown -200
Any other score +165* inflated value compared to other games, especially considering kicking indoors w/ accurate veteran kickers
Saints @ Falcons - Will there be score in first 5:30 of game
Yes: -130
No: Even*
Team to score first:
Saints -130
Falcons even
Saints (-6) at Cleveland.
LeBron James will be honorary captain is the rumor.
Will any NFL team go 16-0?
Yes: +4000 (if you bet $100 you would win $4000 for a return of $4100)
NFL MVP
Drew Brees +800 (if you bet $100 you would win $800 for a return of $900)
Saints at Falcons Props
Margin of Victory:
Saints Win by 22 or more +500
Saints Win by 1 to 3 points +600
Saints Win by 4 to 6 points +900
Saints Win by 7-10 points +600
Saints Win by 11-13 points +1450*
Falcons Win by 22 or more +1000
Player to Score first TD:
J. Graham +500
J. Jones +700
S. Jackson +800
R. White +850
M. Colston +900
P. Thomas +1000
M. Ingram +1200*
B. Cooks +1300
K. Robinson +1900*
J. Rodgers +2000*
B. Watson +2200*
D. Hester +4000
M. Ryan +4500*
D. Brees +5000*
N. Toon +6000
No Touchdown +15000
Longest TD of Game:
Over 50.5 Yards -115
Under 50.5 Yards - 115
Saints at Falcons - Team Points
Saints over 28 -110
Saints under 28 -120
Falcons over 25 -115
Falcons under 25 -115*
First Score of Game wil be:
Touchdown -200
Any other score +165* inflated value compared to other games, especially considering kicking indoors w/ accurate veteran kickers
Saints @ Falcons - Will there be score in first 5:30 of game
Yes: -130
No: Even*
Team to score first:
Saints -130
Falcons even
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 10:53 am
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:56 am to SirWinston
Saints win by 22 or more is +500 No way 5000 maybe. These bets are easy house money.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am to 1609tiger
It's actually correct. Think about it... you get the entire range of 22-infinity points of victory (obviously only 22-35 or so is realistic but still).
The other options you only get 3-4 point range.
Also, the Falcons are only +1000 to beat New Orleans by 22 or more. That meshes with liklihood.
My favorite play is the "Saints win by 11-13" because that's where I have this game capped and the payoff seems unusually high for this range - Saints 28, Falcons 17.
The other options you only get 3-4 point range.
Also, the Falcons are only +1000 to beat New Orleans by 22 or more. That meshes with liklihood.
My favorite play is the "Saints win by 11-13" because that's where I have this game capped and the payoff seems unusually high for this range - Saints 28, Falcons 17.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 11:01 am
Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:03 am to SirWinston
You have the game capped at 11, and vegas only has it at 2 or 3? Hmmm, who do we believe?
Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:05 am to josh336
It's my biggest play ever. Vegas is petrified of this game. Virtually all of the money is on the Saints - sharps pounded it early on at +1.5 and +1 and now the public is still taking Saints at -3 and -120.
Vegas took a beating last night on Seattle and this is currently the 2nd heaviest wagered game of Week 1. They're praying for an ATL cover and it might get to -3.5 before kickoff.
Vegas took a beating last night on Seattle and this is currently the 2nd heaviest wagered game of Week 1. They're praying for an ATL cover and it might get to -3.5 before kickoff.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 11:09 am
Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:08 am to 1609tiger
quote:
These bets are easy house money.
I agree for the most part. I bet 99% on sides and money line. But some of the plays (which I asterisk'd) are good value like J. Rodgers or K. Robinson or M. Ryan scoring the first TD.
Posted on 9/7/14 at 12:51 pm to SirWinston
quote:
Player to Score first TD: K. Robinson +1900*
quote:
my best bets denoted by an asterisk (*)
This post was edited on 9/7/14 at 12:53 pm
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