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re: In the last 5 years combined LSU only has 83 more first downs than opponents

Posted on 1/9/13 at 10:51 pm to
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57434 posts
Posted on 1/9/13 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

So what you're saying is first downs don't correlate to program success?


The original 12 SEC teams going back 5 seasons. The correlation is obvious. Statistically, having a +~80 first down differential leads to a 60% winning rate which is simply average in the SEC.

By the way, Florida is apparently better than us over the last 5 years as well as obviously Bama.

Posted by EarthwormJim
Member since Dec 2005
10063 posts
Posted on 1/9/13 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

The original 12 SEC teams going back 5 seasons. The correlation is obvious. Statistically, having a +~80 first down differential leads to a 60% winning rate which is simply average in the SEC.


LSU has around +80 differential and 77% win percentage over that time, so obviously that differential is enough to sustain a successful program.

Also there's only 2 teams around +80, hardly enough to make any statistical analysis.

So again you answered you own original question by showing LSU has sustained success with that +~80 differential.
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67592 posts
Posted on 1/9/13 at 11:33 pm to
Damn Bama is winning at a 90% clip over the last 5 yrs
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