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re: Basketball Bet Thread 11/30
Posted on 11/30/12 at 1:22 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 11/30/12 at 1:22 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
That was one site's review. My pick is based on thinking Tennessee can make it a close, sloppy game. I think 7 is too many points for a young team like that to be giving against a quality team, even if it at home. GTown has the advantage in the frontcourt with Whittington and Porter, so UT will be toast if Stokes gets into foul trouble.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 3:52 pm to maclauer
NBA
Cavaliers +9
Kings +1.5
College Hoops
Georgia State -1
South Florida -3.5
Eastern Washington +5
Good Luck Tonight Guys
Cavaliers +9
Kings +1.5
College Hoops
Georgia State -1
South Florida -3.5
Eastern Washington +5
Good Luck Tonight Guys
Posted on 11/30/12 at 4:02 pm to dgtiger3
You run a system for bball too?
Posted on 11/30/12 at 4:26 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
I would take Arkansas at home over nearly anyone getting points.
We'll either pull the upset, or get blown out.
We did start 17-0 at home last year and whipped a Top 10 Michigan team, it's not like Syracuse will be anything different in BWA, but I still wouldn't touch it.
Inconsistent shooting against that zone and we could get blown out, but like I said, we're usually 'on' at home.
It went down to +7? When I went to bed it was +8.5.
We'll either pull the upset, or get blown out.
We did start 17-0 at home last year and whipped a Top 10 Michigan team, it's not like Syracuse will be anything different in BWA, but I still wouldn't touch it.
Inconsistent shooting against that zone and we could get blown out, but like I said, we're usually 'on' at home.
It went down to +7? When I went to bed it was +8.5.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 4:29 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
You run a system for bball too?
Honestly basketball was the first sport that really got me into advanced statistics and predicting value of teams.
This early in the year I just look for value in the lines, I try to bet on the teams that I feel the line has been set to favor, Usually a team with a worse record, or coming off a bad shooting night or two, because it is generally a "what have you done for me lately" market.
I have found that if I focus on teams that play 10 points better at home than they do on the road you can really find some value, especially with so many teams in college hoops. I love fading those teams on the road when they are favored against a inferior opponent that team that also plays much better at home.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 4:37 pm to UltimateHog
quote:
I would take Arkansas at home over nearly anyone getting points.
We'll either pull the upset, or get blown out.
We did start 17-0 at home last year and whipped a Top 10 Michigan team, it's not like Syracuse will be anything different in BWA, but I still wouldn't touch it.
Inconsistent shooting against that zone and we could get blown out, but like I said, we're usually 'on' at home.
It went down to +7? When I went to bed it was +8.5.
There are lots of stats that back your claims as well. Out of the 345 Division 1 teams last season, Arkansas ranked #7 in Home Court Advantage, playing around 20 points better at home than they did on the road.
Only reason I am not on them tonight is the other numbers I follow have Syracuse as a vastly superior team, and they could get completely overmatched.
Goodluck.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 6:18 pm to maclauer
quote:
My pick is based on thinking Tennessee can make it a close, sloppy game
So far, so good with this prediction
What an ugly game so far.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 8:06 pm to TiggerWoods
Added live in-play: Ark TT under 74.5 for 1 unit
Posted on 11/30/12 at 8:22 pm to maclauer
Another live in-play: Arkansas TT under 77.5 now, also 1 unit
Posted on 11/30/12 at 8:31 pm to maclauer
Auburn under is not looking so hot
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:13 pm to TiggerWoods
Auburn up on DePaul at half
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:42 pm to maclauer
My worst nightmare. Both TTs lose and Ark doesn't cover
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:51 pm to maclauer
Lmao that FT with 2 seconds left fricked people that took Arkansas at +8.5.
Forgot about that. Ouch.
Don't even know why we fouled with 3 seconds left down 8. Rigged.
Forgot about that. Ouch.
Don't even know why we fouled with 3 seconds left down 8. Rigged.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:53 pm to UltimateHog
Fullerton needs a miracle to cover -4.5 ...
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:55 pm to maclauer
And Cal St Fullerton disappeared.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:55 pm to Billy Mays
Seriously? frick.
CSF was up by 7 at the half, I felt good.
They must be getting leveled in the 2nd half.
CSF was up by 7 at the half, I felt good.
They must be getting leveled in the 2nd half.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 9:58 pm to UltimateHog
Yeah they've only scored 24 points so far in the 2nd half.
Reminds me why laying points on bad/mediocre teams on the road isn't usually a great idea.
OT is the only way out of this one I'm afraid.
Reminds me why laying points on bad/mediocre teams on the road isn't usually a great idea.
OT is the only way out of this one I'm afraid.
Posted on 11/30/12 at 10:06 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
CSF goes down 77-75.
Wtf happened they hit a 3 to cut it to 2 with 5 seconds left, couldn't foul? Jesus.
Luckily I got talked into that one late and low balled it.
Wtf happened they hit a 3 to cut it to 2 with 5 seconds left, couldn't foul? Jesus.
Luckily I got talked into that one late and low balled it.
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