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NFL Survivor: Week 13

Posted on 11/26/12 at 10:44 am
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 10:44 am
Finally had an easy week with Cincinnati after the SF tie (advances in my pool) and the Dallas come-from-behind overtime win.

66 players entered W12 and 57 had Cincinnati and Denver. Three advanced with Indy, but 6 lost with Dallas, Tennessee, San Diego and Seattle.

W13 looks like slim pickings and I'm leaning towards Chicago over Seattle @ Soldier Field. The only other viable option is Denver, but Tampa is dangerous and could upset the Fighting Mannings.

57 left fighting for $48K.
This post was edited on 11/26/12 at 10:45 am
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 10:54 am to
I'll probably roll with GB or NE this weekend. I think Pats got Dolphins at home and I haven't used them yet.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 10:57 am to
quote:

I think Pats got Dolphins at home


@ Miami.

Week 13
Saints @ Falcons
Jags @ Bills
Seahawks @ Bears
Colts @ Lions
Vikings @ Packers
Panthers @ Chiefs
Patriots @ Dolphins
Cardinals @ Jets
49ers @ Rams
Texans @ Titans
Bucs @ Broncos
Steelers @ Ravens
Browns @ Raiders
Bengals @ Chargers
Eagles @ Dallas
Giants @ Redskins

Buffalo over Jacksonville is an option, but the Bills suck.
This post was edited on 11/26/12 at 10:59 am
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
73952 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:05 am to
Dallas could be a nice pick depending on if Vick returns. This upcoming week will be telling. Only 4 teams have lost the last 3 weeks in my pool.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:15 am to
It's been the same in mine.

Counting the 6 knocked out this week, only 13 have been knocked out over the last 4 weeks.

It should start getting a little tougher for most this week.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:18 am to
Alright, I'm going with Green Bay at home to bounce back against Minnesota. I think it's a solid pick. I'll save NE for later. Also have SF to use as well.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:24 am to
It's looking like this right now for me:

W13: Chicago
W14: Seattle
W15: Miami or New Orleans or Washington
W16: Denver
W17: New Orleans or Pittsburgh or Tennessee

All subject to change due to injuries or how well teams are playing.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:41 am to
This is what I'm looking at:

13 - GB
14 - SF
15 - Miami or Buffalo - my biggest issue here. Miami would be interesting because Henne returns and should be starting.
16 - NE
17 - Pitt
Posted by lsu31always
Team 31™
Member since Jan 2008
108102 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:50 am to
I may roll the dice with Baltimore this week
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23085 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 11:55 am to
If Batch is starting, I would too..
Posted by wrlakers
Member since Sep 2007
5900 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I may roll the dice with Baltimore this week


I see people talking about picking the Ravens, the Patriots, the Packers, the Bills.

I have none of those teams available. I have serious concerns this week. Considering the Bears, but would like it a lot better if those two Seahawk cornerbacks started serving their suspensions immediately.
Posted by lsurulz1515
Member since Mar 2007
8003 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 12:52 pm to
I'm screwed and have picked just about all the viable options...what's everyone's thoughts on Cleveland over Oakland?
These are pretty much my only options:
Carolina over Kansas City
NYJ over Arizona
Denver over TB
Cleveland over Oakland
Chargers over Cincy
Whats the best route here? IYO
This post was edited on 11/26/12 at 12:56 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Considering the Bears, but would like it a lot better if those two Seahawk cornerbacks started serving their suspensions immediately.


This +1000.
Posted by TDswah
LA
Member since Apr 2012
630 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

57 left fighting for $48K


how many people entered and how much was the buy in?
Posted by Pedro
Geaux Hawks
Member since Jul 2008
38338 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 1:53 pm to
Carolina over Kansas City
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

how many people entered and how much was the buy in?


470 or so

Initial buy-in is $50, but you could rebuy up to the start of W4 if you were knocked out.

Rebuy is $50 + $50 * (Week re-bought/lost). If you were knocked out in W3, your total re-buy was $200.

More money was adding to the pot via rebuys than the original 470 buy-in.

Nearly half of the people still alive rebought after they had lost in Week 3.
This post was edited on 11/26/12 at 3:54 pm
Posted by TDswah
LA
Member since Apr 2012
630 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

LSUAlum2001


That's crazy! I like the idea of a rebuy. The one I'm in has 300 people and the pot is 3k. It only has 12 people left.

I bet if they did a rebuy, our pot would've jumped up a lot.



48k is a life changing game there...good luck.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

48k is a life changing game there...good luck


Usually the final handful (around 4-8) agree to split.

This one is usually over by W14, but due to all the comebacks: Atlanta x4, Houston, Dallas, etc, it has kept more people alive than before.

Posted by jmarto1
Houma, LA/ Las Vegas, NV
Member since Mar 2008
37993 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 5:45 pm to
How are you guys feeling about the Indy@Det matchup? I'm thinking about picking Det with Vegas giving Indy 4.5 points. If I can get past this week I am feeling pretty good. I still have Chi, Den, SF, Pitt, Wash, Sea, and NO left.

I've got people trying to save Denver for the last week and I think that is a bad idea. I'm betting they sit Peyton soon enough. I'm looking to save SF for the last week since they have two QB's that you can trust as of right now.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48149 posts
Posted on 11/26/12 at 8:13 pm to
Detroit could be a decent play.

Indy, however, is fighting for a playoff spot and could give the Lions a run for the W.

As far as Denver goes for me, I may play them vs Oakland W14 or vs Cleveland in W16.
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