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re: Odds the Mississippi River jumps basins?
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:28 am to Chad504boy
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:28 am to Chad504boy
I'd say 3.
0
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:31 am to JudgeHolden
quote:
There are about 80 tons of water a second trying to drop 14 feet at Old River. You are not going to stop it forever.
I dont like your attitude.
j/k
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:38 am to MoreOrLes
Don't listen to these jackasses bro. THere was 0% chance that a tsunami take out the nuclear reactor in Japan, or 0% chance airplanes could be hijacked and flown into US targets in NY.!
You know why, cause we have federal agencies who are in charge of making sure things like that can't happen. Yeah right.....
You are right to sya there is a chance. I don't think it will jump the basin, if there is a chance, it will be a failure of manmade levees or structures that are controlled by our great government.
We all know how well anything they have had watch over for 40 yrs seems to work!
You know why, cause we have federal agencies who are in charge of making sure things like that can't happen. Yeah right.....
You are right to sya there is a chance. I don't think it will jump the basin, if there is a chance, it will be a failure of manmade levees or structures that are controlled by our great government.
We all know how well anything they have had watch over for 40 yrs seems to work!
Posted on 5/16/11 at 10:41 am to JudgeHolden
look on google maps at the three miles or so that the red and the Mississippi run parallel in close proximity just above old rive, separated by only levees and wetlands. that is the place that scares the crap out of me. I say screw the animals in the wetlands, they ought to fill that area in with enough rock to build 10 pyramids . . .
Posted on 5/16/11 at 11:03 am to SCOTLANDtheBRAVE
quote:LINK
Despite several close calls, the ORCS still manages to keep the Mississippi River in check. How long this will last, however, is a matter of opinion. The Army corps claims to have the situation in control; the Mississippi will not divert to the Atchafalaya as long as they are there to prevent it. However, what if the control structures necessary to prevent the Mississippi's diversion to the Atchafalaya River were completely undermined and swept away during a flood such as the one in 1973? The ORCS has almost failed in the face of the Mississippi's might before, and it could still do so. Can the Army corps withstand nature's might indefinitely, or will physics and the Mississippi River win out in the end?
Posted on 5/16/11 at 11:12 am to lpotterusa
The risk of an ORCS failure isn't the only risk. You could also see a levee breach, for example, just north of the ORCS and see the river jump basins.
All it would take is for some river pilot to get drunk or fall asleep and ram the levee tomorrow. Or for some jihadi to plant a little TNT.
I'll agree with a 1% risk, though. It's extremely small.
All it would take is for some river pilot to get drunk or fall asleep and ram the levee tomorrow. Or for some jihadi to plant a little TNT.
I'll agree with a 1% risk, though. It's extremely small.
Posted on 5/16/11 at 11:35 am to Croacka
quote:
if the ORCS ever fails, we're in a world of hurt, but as long as that structure stays sound, we should be in the clear
Not if the river changes course AROUND the ORCS. This is what is bound to eventually happen if we do nothing (though it will hopefully take a really long time)
Posted on 5/16/11 at 11:48 am to Oily Tigah
quote:
Your not as smart as you think you are.
Posted on 5/16/11 at 12:44 pm to Oily Tigah
quote:
Galveston to NO
Where did you hear that the Mississippi used to flow that far west? The coast of southwestern Louisiana was not built by deltaic processes. From what I recall, the mouth of the river has always been to the east of Vermilion Bay.
Posted on 5/16/11 at 12:46 pm to Tommy Patel
quote:
tributaries
You mean distributaries, right?
Posted on 5/16/11 at 1:30 pm to Sasquatch Smash
Well the bottom line is anything the gvmnt controls for over 30 years will fail eventually in some capacity....even if it's budgetary in nature.
Posted on 5/16/11 at 4:28 pm to agdoctor
quote:
this event the chances are 0%
Mississippi River Meander Belt
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