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re: Bookie says they won't play

Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59178 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Vegas is all about balancing the book.
This.

The whole point of a moving line is to ensure that the bookie has an equal number of losing bets and winning bets so that the losers cover the winners and the bookie takes the vig


That's the theory, but it don't work that way in real life. Far more is bet on NFL games, usually the best outcome for Vegas is for the favorite to win outright, but not cover. Most people usually bet favorites, but they have greater exposure if underdog wins outright.
Posted by wahoocs
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2004
22403 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:40 pm to
The real threat for a game with a large line move is pairing that game with a "key" game in a two game teaser.

Teasers don't have juice.

5 1/2 pts. either way buys you 5 1/2 on the key game, with no risk of juice.

ETA: Of course, you have to win the key game, but you get 5 1/2 free points. I have never lost a key game in this scenario, but I have had the game fall outside of my 11+ pt. margin for no joy.
This post was edited on 8/31/10 at 12:44 pm
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