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re: Bookie says they won't play

Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:34 pm to
Posted by wahoocs
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2004
22403 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:34 pm to
Middling has been a science for many years, and it pays in the long run. Don't underestimate it.

You will rarely see a big line move on Monday night games for this reason.

You will also be very surprised how many times the number drops right in the slot. Lines are very accurate.

The Vegas Power Ratings are my most reliable source for determining team strength. LSU has been highly rated by them since the Saban days, but non-mysteriously waning lately.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59178 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Middling has been a science for many years, and it pays in the long run. Don't underestimate it.

You will rarely see a big line move on Monday night games for this reason.


I would need to see evidence middling works or even happens all that often, for starters, it would require someone to place bets early before a line moves. Sure there are pros that do that, usually because they see an opening line that think is too low and many times the line will not move that much.
quote:

You will also be very surprised how many times the number drops right in the slot. Lines are very accurate.


sure, they know what they are doing. lots of totals are pretty close to the number. How often does say a line open at 3, move to 7 and hits in between?

Big casinos are much more worried about Sunday's like week 6 last year.

Vegas does not get equal bets on both sides

quote:

The Las Vegas Review Journal reported that in some sports books, 90 percent of the action was on the Colts. The bettors had good reason: Undefeated Indy won 42-6,


this game had way more action that bettors middling the LSU-UNC game
This post was edited on 8/31/10 at 12:46 pm
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