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ISR probabilities give LSU 0% chance of winning national title
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:00 pm
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:00 pm
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:02 pm to Jeeves
that thing is a little heavy towards 1 seeds. ASU at 58 percent. ha
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:03 pm to Jeeves
I wouldn't put much credence into that thing.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:03 pm to Jeeves
quote:
Reg Super Final Champ Team
quote:
11.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 Louisiana State
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:04 pm to LSUTigerguy789
ASU will not win the NC, book it bitches
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:04 pm to Jeeves
But they give Bama a 0.1% chance. Right.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:05 pm to Jeeves
Thus concludes any possible reliance on the ISR as a predictive tool.
Arizona State better chance of winning than every other team combined?
Arizona State better chance of winning than every other team combined?
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:05 pm to Jeeves
Just fwiw LSU was only 3.7% last season.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:06 pm to Jeeves
And only 6.5% AFTER it was down to 8 teams in Omaha. 
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:08 pm to Jeeves
these seems stupid only one team has greater then a 10% chance of winning the title and it ASU with 50+.
I think the last time a one seed won it all was 2001 when miami won it
I think the last time a one seed won it all was 2001 when miami won it
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:10 pm to catholictigerfan
What was our chance as the last seed to go undefeated and win the SEC tournament? 
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:12 pm to Jeeves
anyone got Oregon State's or Fresno's chances from this thing when they won it?
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:14 pm to Jeeves
quote:
Damn... hand it to Arizona State now.
Nobody has a 93.4% chance of winning a Super Regional. That's crazy.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:16 pm to Hermit Crab
If we changed our name from LSU to 'Generic Pacific Coast Team' we would get a lot more love from the ISR.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:18 pm to fbb
I'm no math wiz, but how does LSU have a lower chance of winning the natl cship than lower seed UC irvine but a greater chance of winning the regional than UC irvine? Fuzzy math if you ask me.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:20 pm to The_Velour_Fog
that program is full of fail.
Posted on 5/31/10 at 9:32 pm to LSUtoOmaha
I like Boyd World and he does great work, but his ISR probabalities are always crazy. First off, the formula consistently overrates West Coast teams and then there's always a WC team with a 40-60% chance to win the title. That's an absurd result. He needs to tweak the program becuase this happens nearly every year, rendering the projection system nearly worthless.
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