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NCAA Baseball Tourney Projections (5.31.10)

Posted on 5/30/10 at 12:52 am
Posted by Xenophon
Aspen
Member since Feb 2006
42659 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 12:52 am
Auto Bids
1. Stony Brook (29-25) - America East
2. St Louis (33-27) - Atlantic 10
3. Mercer (35-22) - Atlantic Sun
4. Minnesota (30-28) - Big 10
5. Coastal Carolina (50-7) - Big South
6. VCU (33-23) - Colonial
7. Southern Miss (35-22) - CUSA
8. Central Connecticut (33-21) - Northeast
9. Dartmouth (26-17) - Ivy
10. Rider (36-21) - Metro Atlantic
11. Kent St (37-23) - Mid American
12. Bethune Cookman (35-20) - Mid Eastern
13. Illinois St (31-22) - Missouri Valley
14. TCU (46-11) - Mountain West
15. Arizona St (46-8) - Pac 10
16. Bucknell (25-33) - Patriot
17. Lamar (35-24) - Southland
18. Oral Roberts (35-25) - Summit
19. Fresno St (37-24) - WAC
20. Florida State (42-17) - ACC
21. Texas A&M (40-19) - Big 12
22. St Johns (40-18) - Big East
23. Milwauke (33-24) - Horizon
24. Jacksonville St (32-24) - Ohio Valley
25. LSU (40-20) - SEC
26. Citadel (42-20) - Southern
27. Grambling (22-30) - SWAC
28. FIU (36-20) - Sunbelt
29. Cal State Fullerton (41-15) - Big West
30. San Diego (36-20) - West Coast

In
31. North Carolina St (38-22)
32. Virginia Tech (38-20)
33. Clemson (38-21)
34. Virginia (46-11)
35. Georgia Tech (44-12)
36. Miami (40-16)
37. Texas (46-10)
38. Oklahoma (43-15)
39. Baylor (34-22)
40. Louisville (48-11
41. UConn (45-13)
42. Stanford (31-23)
43. UC Irvine (35-19)
44. Rice (38-21)
45. Wichita St (41-19)
46. UCLA (42-12)
47. Oregon (37-21)
48. Florida (42-15)
49. South Carolina (43-15)
50. Vanderbilt (41-17)
51. Auburn (40-19)
52. Arkansas (40-18)
53. Ole Miss (38-22)
54. Alabama (37-22)
55. New Mexico (37-20)
56. College of Charleston (42-17)
57. Elon (38-21)
58. North Carolina (36-20)
59. Arizona (32-21)
60. Oregon St (30-21)
61. Washington St (33-19)
62. Kansas St (36-19)
63. Liberty (41-18)
64. Florida Atlantic (35-21)


Here are the teams i have out, with (records) and [RPI].

Last Ones Out
Florida Gulf Coast (38-20) [42]
UNC-Charlotte (39-17) [79]
Pitt (38-18) [60]
Texas State (37-21) [47]
Southeastern La (40-19) [52]
Louisiana-Lafayette (37-20) [44]
Kentucky (31-25) [33]
This post was edited on 5/31/10 at 10:16 am
Posted by Xenophon
Aspen
Member since Feb 2006
42659 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 12:55 am to
ULL and SELA should really be rooting for The Citadel, UConn, CSF, and San Diego to win their tournaments..
This post was edited on 5/30/10 at 1:15 am
Posted by The White Lobster
Member since Jul 2009
16764 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 1:05 am to
3 weeks ago South Alabama was close to being a lock. Then 7 straight losses happened.
Posted by Xenophon
Aspen
Member since Feb 2006
42659 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 10:11 am to
i dont think they were ever going to have enough wins to get in without winning the SBC tournament.. would have been close..
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71517 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:12 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/6/23 at 12:55 pm
Posted by fightingtiger2335
heh?
Member since Aug 2007
61157 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:19 am to
The Southland tourny could not have gone worse for SLU....Texas State making the finals and losing to Lamar ruined any chance they had left...they needed State to win badly...Southland never has and never will get 3 teams in
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
38738 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:19 am to
Stanford or Cal will end up getting in imo. I doubt the 4th place team in the Pac-10 gets left out
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71517 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:23 am to
quote:

The Southland tourny could not have gone worse for SLU


Posted by fightingtiger2335
heh?
Member since Aug 2007
61157 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:25 am to
i can't stay mad at you
Posted by Stromile Swift
Houston
Member since Sep 2003
43195 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:51 am to
quote:

I dont think SLU is getting in regardless of what happens. Same goes for ULL.


SLU blew their chance but I bet ULL makes the field.
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71517 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 12:10 pm to
Kentucky would get n before ULL imo
Posted by X FACTOR
Member since Aug 2009
12 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 12:57 pm to
Great West does not receive a bid. They are not a sanctioned D1 conference.
Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24796 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 4:08 pm to
LSU is not hosting ...I am honestly shocked by that ..
Posted by DEANintheYAY
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31975 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 6:34 pm to
No tourney for Fullerton. They earned their auto birth last week.
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11060 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 10:30 pm to
Here's a list of the teams that are in:
Automatic Qualifiers
and their RPI's/Projected seeds:

America East-Stony Brook (217/4)
ACC: Florida State (14/2)
Atlantic Sun: Mercer (132/4)
Atlantic 10-St. Louis (205/4)
Big East-St. John’s (62/3)
*Big South-Coastal Carolina (2/1)
Big Ten-Minnesota (114/4)
Big 12-Texas A&M (21/2)
*Big West-Cal State Fullerton (11/1)
CAA-Virginia Commonwealth (149/4)
CUSA-Southern Mississippi (63/3)
Horizon: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (221/4)
Ivy League-Dartmouth (146/4)
MAAC-Rider (139/4)
MAC-Kent State (118/4)
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman (99/4)
Missouri Valley-Illinois State (85/3)
*Mountain West-TCU (15/1)
Northeast-Central Connecticut St. (200/4)
Ohio Valley-Jacksonville St. (90/4)
*Pac 10-Arizona State (1/1)
Patriot League-Bucknell (211/4)
SEC-LSU (24/2)
Southern-The Citadel (35/3)
Southland-Lamar (120/4)
SWAC-Grambling St. (278/4)
Summit League-Oral Roberts (125/4)
Sun Belt-Florida International (53/3)
WCC-San Diego (29/2)
WAC-Hawaii (78/3)
(* = Regional Host)

Add to that the other 12 Regional hosts that are also in:
Arkansas (9/1)
Auburn (16/1)
Connecticut (20/2)
Florida (4/1)
Georgia Tech (10/1)
Louisville (6/1)
Miami (8/1)
Oklahoma (18/1)
South Carolina (17/1)
Texas (5/1)
UCLA (7/1)
Virginia (3/1)
(Bold = National Seed)
And that gives us 42 of the 64, with only 22 at-large spots up for grabs.
This post was edited on 5/31/10 at 12:40 am
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11060 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:16 pm to
Here are the next 22 in RPI: (seed)
12)Bama (1)
13)Vandy (2)
19)Clemson (2)
22)UNC (2)
23)Oregon St. (2)
25)Arizona (2)
26)Wash St. (2)
27)Charleston (2)
28)Ole Piss (2)
30)Rice (2)
31)Oregon (3)
32)Kentucky (2)
33)Baylor (2)
34)Va Tech (3)
36)Cal (3)
37)Stanford (3)
38)FAU (3)
39)K-State (3)
40)WKU (3)
41)Elon (3)
42)FL Gulf Coast (3)
43)BC (3)

(By the way, #44, and the first one out, is ULaLa)
This post was edited on 5/30/10 at 11:55 pm
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11060 posts
Posted on 5/30/10 at 11:50 pm to
So here's my bracket: (National Seed paired with Regional directly below)

1) ASU
Baylor
Stanford
Wisc-Mil

OU
Vandy
St John's
Oral Roberts

2) CC
Charleston
Va. Tech
Stony Brook

South Carolina
FSU
FIU
Minnesota

3) UVA
Ole Piss
Citadel
VCU

Auburn
Clemson
USM
Jax St.

4) Florida
Wash St.
Fla. Gulf Coast
Bucknell

Alabama
UConn
BC
C. Conn.

5) Texas
Rice
Illinois St.
Lamar

TCU
Texas A&M
Oregon
Grambling

6) Louisville
Kentucky
WKU
Kent St.

Ga. Tech
LSU
Elon
Mercer

7) UCLA
San Diego
Cal
Rider

CSF
Oregon St.
Hawaii
Dartmouth

8) Miami
Arizona
FAU
Bethune

Arkansas
UNC
Kansas St.
St. Louis
This post was edited on 5/31/10 at 12:40 am
Posted by t blows
Member since Nov 2007
1025 posts
Posted on 5/31/10 at 12:02 am to
quote:

6) Louisville
Kentucky
WKU
Kent St.



Not getting in over the Cajuns. They finished 16-14 in the Sun Belt in 8th place. Cajuns were 21-9 and in 1st place. Cajuns took 2/3 from them and WKU's ace is done for his career probably with a shoulder injury, needs surgery.
Posted by RockChalkTiger
A Little Bit South of Saskatoon
Member since May 2009
11060 posts
Posted on 5/31/10 at 12:08 am to
Just going strictly by RPI, which admittedly is today's and could change by a place or two tomorrow.

But L'ville, Kentucky and WKU would blow up attendance in Louisville.
Posted by t blows
Member since Nov 2007
1025 posts
Posted on 5/31/10 at 12:13 am to
WKU is going to finish one spot higher in the RPI than the Cajuns, but they won't be in ahead of us. Cajuns are co-champions of the 6th best conference in America. Any chance they had went out the window when Matt Ridings got injured, sucks because he was a great pitcher. Their manager probably overused him. I said they were 8th but they ended up tied for the 6th spot in the league. It would be a huge travesty for them to get in ahead of us.


Maybe if they would have made a deep run in the tourny, but they went 2 and q like we did. I think you have to give the nod to the reg. season champs. Also, Aaron Fitt of baseballamerica.com has us firmly in..

LINK

quote:

Austin
1. Texas
2. Rice
3. Louisiana-Lafayette
4. Lamar



note the Cajuns aren't listed as one of the last teams in or a team on the bubble..

quote:

The last teams into the field of 64 are California and New Mexico. Other bubble teams that get the nod: North Carolina, Kentucky, Elon, Oregon State, North Carolina State.

The first teams out are Arizona, Pittsburgh, Wichita State, Florida Gulf Coast, Texas State, Boston College and Liberty.

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