- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
New poll has Massie leading Gallrein
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:13 pm
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:13 pm
U.S. Rep. Thomas Massie holds an edge over GOP primary challenger Ed Gallrein, who's running with the endorsement of President Donald Trump against the longtime congressman who isn't afraid to vote against other Republicans in some instances. Still, he can't celebrate yet — Massie hasn't crossed 50% support, and the pollster described the race as "competitive."
Quantus found 46.8% of likely registered voters support Massie and 37.7% back Gallrein, with 14% undecided.
"For an incumbent, being under 50% is not ideal," a Quantus release said. "But a near 10-point lead in a two-man race is still a strong position, especially when the underlying numbers suggest Massie retains the advantages that usually matter most in a primary: a known name, an established base, and a political identity that fits the district better than some in Washington may assume."
LINK
Quantus found 46.8% of likely registered voters support Massie and 37.7% back Gallrein, with 14% undecided.
"For an incumbent, being under 50% is not ideal," a Quantus release said. "But a near 10-point lead in a two-man race is still a strong position, especially when the underlying numbers suggest Massie retains the advantages that usually matter most in a primary: a known name, an established base, and a political identity that fits the district better than some in Washington may assume."
LINK
17
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:15 pm to Murph4HOF
Well, now......this poll is clearly bullshite.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:15 pm to Murph4HOF
Under 50% when you have all of the name recognition is not a great spot to be in.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:17 pm to Murph4HOF
Massie leading AIPAC Ed
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:17 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Well, now......this poll is clearly bullshite.
You think Massie is less popular?
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:18 pm to Murph4HOF
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:22 pm to Cuz413
quote:
Massie leading AIPAC Ed
Anyone would be an improvement over Media Whore Massie.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:23 pm to Murph4HOF
K. 
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
Not bullshite, most likely... but campaigning hasn't really heated up yet.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Well, now......this poll is clearly bullshite.
I know what you're doing there.This post was edited on 4/9/26 at 5:27 pm
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:27 pm to imjustafatkid
quote:Incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie holds what appears to be a modest but durable lead over challenger Ed Gallrein in the Republican primary for Kentucky House District 4 being held on May 19, 2026. The survey was conducted by BIG DATA POLL as part of the Public Polling Project and the project will conduct a final survey in the district next month.
Under 50% when you have all of the name recognition is not a great spot to be in.
When asked initially, Rep. Massie leads Mr. Gallrein by just over 2 points, 42.9% to 40.6% with a sizable percentage at 16.5% declaring they remain undecided. However, when asked to whom they are leaning, the incumbent’s lead grows to 52.4% to 47.6%, with undecided voters breaking for Rep. Massie 57.5% to 42.5%.
When those who identify as America First/MAGA were asked to choose between the two, America First easily won out over MAGA, 67.8% to 32.2%.
Further, the challenger is almost absent a ground game or grassroots support, with only 8.6% reporting to have interacted with door knockers or campaigners supporting Mr. Gallrein. That is significantly less than the 35.5% who say they have been contacted personally by campaigners for the incumbent. There are also disparities in phone bank contacts and text message campaigns, albeit smaller than those on the ground.
Of note, the percentage of Registered Republicans who disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President (32.8%) is higher than the national average, driven in large part to his handling of Inflation / Cost of Living (53.9% vs. 44.7%, the Iran War (59.1% vs. 39%), and being underwater on the Epstein Files (40.9% vs 50.0%).
That has limited the positive impact of the president’s endorsement to largely 65 and older voters, particularly those living in urban and rural. While Mr. Gallrein holds a healthy 65.0% to 35.0% lead among reliable primary voters who are 65 and older, he trails among every other age group. Rep. Massie leads overwhelmingly 78.5% to 21.5% with voters 18-29 years old, 64.9% to 35.1% with voters 30-44, and more narrowly 53.3% to 46.7% among 45-64, a key swing age group projected to be the largest voting bloc.
LINK
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:28 pm to imjustafatkid
quote:
Under 50% when you have all of the name recognition is not a great spot to be in.
If that poll is true Massie is in a great spot. Undecideds will not break at 80+% for him. He already has Trump's endorsement and he's sitting at 37.7%...
Assuming that polling is true.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:29 pm to imjustafatkid
as long as you win, its what matters. Trump in his own race couldnt break 50% against a candidate who had a 4 month campaign
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:30 pm to Cuz413
quote:If AIPAC supported Trump over Newsom, you'd vote Newsom
Massie leading AIPAC Ed
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:34 pm to Figgy
quote:
If that poll is true Massie is in a great spot. Undecideds will not break at 80+% for him. He already has Trump's endorsement and he's sitting at 37.7%...
I think you meant to say Gallrein is in a great spot, and I agree.
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:35 pm to Murph4HOF
Massie is one of only a handful of conservatives in this government
Losing him only helps the left
Losing him only helps the left
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:38 pm to Murph4HOF
Lets
Heckin
Geaux
Heckin
Geaux
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:38 pm to Roaad
AIPAC ED doesn't have a chance here in Kentucky
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:38 pm to Roaad
quote:
Losing him only helps the left
how would the left losing a guaranteed vote help them?
Posted on 4/9/26 at 5:43 pm to Rebel
The left opposes Trump backed bills because they hate Trump
Massie opposes the bills he opposes because they are not aligned with conservative principles. . .and he eloquently explains each vote.
Massie opposes the bills he opposes because they are not aligned with conservative principles. . .and he eloquently explains each vote.
Page 1 of 4
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News