Say we didn’t attack Iran. What happens when Iran shuts off the Strait of Hormuz whenever…

It’s largely a hollow threat that they only played as a last resort.



Shutting it off in isolation would turn the entire world against them.


Hence why they never did it until pushed to extremes.

That wasn’t the global threat had we not acted.

They made the global threat directly at the negotiating table: enough enriched material to make 11 nuclear weapons.

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It’s largely a hollow threat that they only played as a last resort.

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How is doubling the price of oil a hollow threat?

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How is doubling the price of oil a hollow threat?

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Because everyone knows they are cutting off their nose to spite their face.




They shut down the strait then even their “allies” are even against them.


Hence why Trump was begging for Chinas help.


This is why even with Iraq baiting them they didn’t do it in the past

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How many times did they close it off previously? Zero times

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The mostly peaceful regime, right?

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The threat is still there though.

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Yes geography exists.


Because someone might do something that is detrimental to themselves is a dumb reason for war.


There are numerous other global choke points where similar economic issues can arise

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It is certainly not a credible threat. Especially not $200 oil.

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It hit $120 in the blink of an eye. We are lucky we already had our Navy in the gulf.

Oh really?


How about the Suez Canal, the Panama Canal, the malacca strait etc


The suez was shut down for much longer than this


It cost Egypt.

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It’s largely a hollow threat that they only played as a last resort. Shutting it off in isolation would turn the entire world against them. Hence why they never did it until pushed to extremes.

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Iran has not been operating in isolation. They've been getting funding and weapons and materials from Russia and China. They've (Iran) also reportedly been supporting militia and terrorist groups in other parts of the middle east. That doesn't seem like a passive country or a hollow threat to me. It seems like a persistent threat and actual source of conflict in and around the Persian Gulf.