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Data Analysis of the State of the Iranian Conflict - March 8, 2026 - Brit strategy failed

Posted on 3/9/26 at 6:51 pm
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 6:51 pm
DataRepublican is almost always spot on. DataRepublican is exceptional at finding what almost all cannot. For those who know, you know.

THERE WILL BE NO GROUND INVASION BY THE USA!

quote:

This is a phased campaign with clear sequencing logic: suppress defenses, decapitate leadership, destroy immediate capacity, destroy reconstitution capacity. Phase 1 (June 2025) was the warning shot. Phase 2 (February 2026) was the systematic campaign following negotiation failure. The plan is there. It requires reading the target sequence, not Tom Nichols.

For military strategy and doctrine, I have relied on credentialed professional analysts: CSIS, ISW, CEPA, the Institute for Science and International Security, CENTCOM and IDF public statements, and Gen. Michael Flynn’s published strategic framework. Where I make military analytical judgments beyond what those sources explicitly support, I’ve labeled them [ASSESSED] and tried to anchor them to the underlying source reasoning.

The people best positioned to correct this document are those who have actually planned air campaigns… or anyone else in the world who isn’t me, really. I’d welcome that correction. What I’ve tried to produce is a pipeline for automated, rigorous OSINT synthesis.

DataRepublic Brings the Info the Panicans Need



Everything in this analysis points to one decisive variable that no bombing campaign can determine: the organizational capacity of the Iranian internal opposition........ Whether the Iranian internal opposition is sufficiently organized to seize the window when it opens is the question that no intelligence assessment can definitively answer.
This post was edited on 3/9/26 at 7:58 pm
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
37370 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

DataRepublican

She is a patriot of the highest order. A true national treasure. I generally take most information from most sources with a grain of salt. But if she's saying it, I believe it. I've been on this rock for almost 50 years and never seen anyone who comes at topics with such sound logic and just the facts.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
96744 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 7:56 pm to
But the tards of the poli told us otherwise
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:00 pm to
She is as solid as they come. It was a great read. The Brit insurance companies thought they had us with their policy decisions, but POTUS Trump ended their reign.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

But the tards of the poli told us otherwise


Her analysis was created before oil collapsed today. Those who said Pete Hegseth knows not what he does know not what they are talking about. This strategy is exactly what was needed and has been implemented perfectly.

More is coming ......
This post was edited on 3/10/26 at 9:01 am
Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
19633 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:08 pm to
I just asked AI $86.17 today, down over $8
Posted by jammajin
Member since Jul 2024
1561 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:09 pm to
I was told just today here that operation hammer was a failure because we’re already going back just 8 months later.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
3103 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:22 pm to
I'm positive that the US military must have some AI super computer that's able to game out all decision alternatives for all inputs of THE WORLD and be able to plan with great confidence the desired outcome. Gotta be.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

I'm positive that the US military must have some AI super computer that's able to game out all decision alternatives for all inputs of THE WORLD and be able to plan with great confidence the desired outcome. Gotta be.


"A new definition of TACO – TRUMP ALWAYS CALCULATES OUTCOMES. In the last 10 years of my 30 year career working for a major DoD contractor, I managed an organization of software engineers, mathematicians, statisticians, intelligence analysts and military subject matter experts that were used to develop Major Combat Operation (MCO) wargame simulations. Some of those simulations used first gen AI models. The DoD contracted our organization to use sophisticated models and war game simulations to build a library of MCO scenarios. Weapons systems models, -INT and C2ISR models were populated with the latest capabilities of the US and potential foreign adversary's. I cannot disclose how we know the capabilities of our adversary's, but suffice it to say it is to an eye watering level of detail. These models and their outputs of their data were fused to support the simulations. All of these activities were at the S, TS and/or CNWDI levels of classification."

A comment from the OP link.

You are right about our ability and with a leader who does not ever lose, so much will be gained for us all.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54486 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

The Brit insurance companies thought they had us with their policy decisions, but POTUS Trump ended their reign.

The insurance. companies would have been nuts to continue insuring those ships. Those decisions were not political, and they hurt Britain far more than the US.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:48 pm to
quote:

The insurance. companies would have been nuts to continue insuring those ships. Those decisions were not political, and they hurt Britain far more than the US.


It was their plan and Iran could not perform due to our initial SEAD. They needed to stop the traffic to let the world react. POTUS Trump quickly countered and the ships are flowing.

The Crown and Lloyd's are done though our B1's and 52's are now landing in the UK on their way to the ME.

IT WILL BE GLORIOUS!!

Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54486 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 6:44 am to
quote:

It was their plan and Iran could not perform

You think Lloyds had a plan? I think they didn’t want to pay for sunken tankers and their cargo. The British politicians, especially Starmer, were afraid to show any support because they might have had muzzies rioting in their cities.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
25524 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 8:00 am to
quote:

I think they didn’t want to pay for sunken tankers and their cargo


Sounds like they should get out of insurance business.

Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 8:47 am to
quote:

You think Lloyds had a plan? I think they didn’t want to pay for sunken tankers and their cargo. The British politicians, especially Starmer, were afraid to show any support because they might have had muzzies rioting in their cities.


Do I think the "monied interests" of London wanted to protect their "status quo" related to the Strait of Hormuz? Green Peas (ask a stupid question and get a stupid answer!!)

This game has been played for a long time. The IRANIAN threat is the reason for the "high" premium charges. At the same time, the Lloyd's response could, would, and did provide leverage.

Then POTUS Trump took it away. Iran will no longer be able to disrupt the flow of goods. Britain is officially out of that picture going forward.

Frig' the Brits. They have been quashed without a shot being fired. They revealed their hand and it was chopped off with genius precision.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 9:21 am to
quote:

I was told just today here that operation hammer was a failure because we’re already going back just 8 months later.



Believe me, we will be told a lot of "things" between now and the first week of November 2026.

Twitter Link
Posted by Rodo
Houston
Member since Aug 2011
1877 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 9:23 am to
Perhaps the absence of staged infantry and armored divisions in the region might be a clue.

Rodo
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
114427 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 9:24 am to
quote:

quote:
DataRepublican

She is a patriot of the highest order. A true national treasure. I generally take most information from most sources with a grain of salt. But if she's saying it, I believe it. I've been on this rock for almost 50 years and never seen anyone who comes at topics with such sound logic and just the facts.


Trump should put her in charge of DOGE
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
21672 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 12:16 pm to
Perhaps.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54486 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Sounds like they should get out of insurance business.

Sounds like you shouldn’t get in it.

An insurance company that suddenly sees the risk elevate on a product will either cancel or increase rates, at least if their contract allows it.
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
39857 posts
Posted on 3/10/26 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

I'm positive that the US military must have some AI super computer that's able to game out all decision alternatives for all inputs of THE WORLD and be able to plan with great confidence the desired outcome. Gotta be.



***Someone please post that ticktock where Snowden talks about OPERATION LOOKING GLASS. All timelines converge in the supercomputer. And Snowden said there is Nothing they can do about it.

It’s freaky.



Someone please post it
This post was edited on 3/10/26 at 1:11 pm
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